Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol (far left), Lee Nak-yeon, representative of the Democratic Party (center), and Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myeong. Yonhap News·News1·Newsis
On the 28th, a public opinion poll showed that Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol ranked first outside the margin of error (±2.2% points in 95% confidence level) with 23.9% in the preference of the next presidential candidate. This is a survey conducted by Real Meter, commissioned by OhmyNews, on 2041 adult men and women nationwide (ARS, response rate 3.1%) on the 21st to 24th.
In this survey, Democratic Party President Lee Nak-yeon and Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong tied for second place with 18.2%, lagging behind General Yoon by 5.7 percentage points. Compared to the same survey last month, General Yoon rose 4.1 percentage points (19.8% → 23.9%), while CEO Lee and Governor Lee declined 2.4 percentage points (20.6% → 18.2%) and 1.2 percentage points (19.4% → 18.2%) respectively. That’s the result. President Yoon ranked first in the presidential elections’ preferences in Hangil Research on the 5th and 7th and the Real Meter survey on the 7th and 8th, but this is the first time that he alone ranked first in the regular survey.
By region, the rise of President Yoon was clear in the metropolitan area. Comparing to the same survey last month, Yun said that Seoul (20.6%→25.1%), which is a’swing state’ (floating class), rather than Daegu, Gyeongbuk (27.3%→28.3%) and Busan, Ulsan, Gyeongnam (21.8%→26.4%). ), Incheon, Gyeonggi (19.4% → 23.7%), and Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong (20.3% → 25.0%). On the other hand, CEO Lee stagnated (43.3% → 34.3%) in Honam, an ultra-strong region, and Lee also gave the first place to President Yoon (23.7%) in Incheon and Gyeonggi (24.6% → 22.0%), which is a home visit. .
Even if the scope has been expanded to the last three months, President Yoon’s preference has steadily risen to 17.2% (October), 19.8% (November), and 23.9% (December) after undergoing a state affairs audit at the Supreme Prosecutors’ Office and disciplinary excommunication from the Ministry of Justice. On the other hand, CEO Lee said ‘21.5% (October) → 20.6% (November) → 18.2% (December)’, and Lee said ‘21.5% (October) → 19.4% (November) → 18.2% (December). )’steadily falling.
In a survey conducted by the Korea Institute for Social Opinion (KSOI) on the 26th of 1006 adult men and women nationwide (full screen interviews, response rate of 16.5%), Lee Jae-myung, Gyeonggi Governor, rated 23.4% as 1 Took the place. Representative Lee (16.8%) and President Yoon (15.0%) followed.
However, compared to last month’s survey by KSOI, Yun was the largest with 3.9 percentage points (11.1% → 15.0%). Lee also found that it rose 2.5 percentage points (20.9% → 23.4%), but Lee showed a decrease of 4.3 percentage points (21.1% → 16.8%). For more information, refer to the website of Real Meter and KSOI and the website of the Central Election Survey and Deliberation Committee.
Reporter Han Young-ik [email protected]