When I saw the pro-US route, I was forced to press down… Chinese invasion scenario

It’s about the Taiwan Air Force. According to Taiwanese media such as Yonhapbo, the Taiwanese Air Force has canceled flight cooperation for the New Year celebrations held by local governments as an annual event. The Taiwanese Air Force has been cooperating with local governments in the area where air force units are stationed at the end of the year and New Year every year. This is not done this year.

Of course it is because of China. Chinese military aircraft invaded Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) more than 70 times in 104 days as of 30 days. This has happened since last September, when the U.S. and Taiwan started a honeymoon relationship in earnest. The Taiwanese Air Force is desperate to stop the frequent Chinese aircraft.

This is not all. On the 23rd, the state-run Global Times reported that the Chinese government will promote the enactment of the National Unification Act. The National Unification Act contains the methods, procedures, and timing of unification between China and Taiwan, including armed unification. This means that the attack on Taiwan for unification will be legalized in China. This is why we are concerned that China’s threat to Taiwan in 2020 was limited to’forced demonstrations’, but it could be different in the new year.

Even if it wasn’t an armed invasion, it could try to put Taiwan into chaos by pressing it with a stronger intensity than in 2020. Taiwan is the most sensitive to China’s threat than any other country. Let’s hear the opinion of Taiwan’s military experts Lin Ying-yu, a professor at the Institute for Strategic International Affairs at Zhongzheng University in Taiwan, recently contributed to the Diplomat of an American current affairs magazine. It was a prediction of how China’s military threat would be posed in 2021. Introduce the scenario he thinks.

China is using a tactic of launching military aircraft from time to time to drain the power of Taiwanese fighters. According to Taiwan’s Yonhap News Agency, the number of Taiwanese military aircraft that emergency sorties in response to Chinese military aircraft is 2.13 times that of Chinese aircraft. Based on this, it is China’s most desired sea to shake public opinion inside Taiwan. “This tactic is mainly an approach to appeal to the sentiment of some Taiwanese politicians and Taiwanese people,” said Professor Lin.

But even in the new year, Professor Lin believes that if Taiwan adheres to the anti-China pro-US route without much disturbance, Professor Lin believes that it will use a stronger method. It causes so-called’low intensity disputes’. It is an attack on an island near Taiwan. It controls the Dongxia Islands and Taiping Islands under the control of Taiwan. Professor Lin said, “The islands near Taiwan are vulnerable to Taiwan’s defense.”

If this does not shake Taiwan, China can use a stronger method. It is a surprise blockade of air and sea in Taiwan. The maritime communication lines surrounding the Taiwan Strait can be blocked. As an island nation, it stimulates Taiwan’s characteristic of relying on energy and supplies from other countries. This is waiting for Taiwan, which feels isolated, to be shaken.

If you look closely, both scenarios are aimed at creating confusion within Taiwan. The direct all-out war with Taiwan is said to be burdensome to China as well. Professor Lin said, “The slogan of China’s attack on Taiwan is “the first battle is the final battle” and “the first battle is the decisive battle”.” I know.” He added, “China also wants to achieve unification without using force on Taiwan.”

Professor Lin said, “Mao Zedong said,’Don’t fight against unprepared battles and battles that you are not sure of winning.'” Point out. He added that it is a rather obvious conclusion, but what is needed for this is a military buildup and a comprehensive defense strategy.

Reporter Seungho Lee [email protected]