1. 起: Star-level politicians row by row

The Seoul Mayor’s by-election received political attention from the registration of the party’s primary candidate. This is because the highly-recognized’star politicians’ cast out votes. The pomun was opened by Democratic Party member Woo Sang-ho, who served as the in-house representative in the passport, and former National Power Congressman Shin Won-hwan, in the opposition.
Subsequently, Ahn Chul-soo, president of the National Assembly Party, declared a run for the mayor of Seoul. On December 20, last year, at the National Assembly Communication Hall, Ahn sparked discussions on unification from the beginning, saying, “I will stand proudly as a single candidate for citizens and opposition parties in Seoul, Korea, and serve as a driving force to stop the regime’s runaway.”
Afterwards, former Congressman Na Gyeong-won, former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon, and former Minister of SMEs and Startups Park Young-seon also declared running for the run. In addition, the Open Democratic Party member Kim Jin-ae, Chung Bong-ju, the Supreme Open Democratic Party member, the former Democratic Party member Geum Tae-seop, and Jo Jung-hoon, the representative of the transition to the era, also declared a challenge.
2. 承: Opposition 1st stage Ahn-Gum unification… Pan-passport responded face-to-face with reasonable discussions
The first unification took place in the third zone. In January, Candidate Ahn Chul-soo proposed a’two-track two-stage unification,’ in which the winner of the 3rd zone unification and the winners of the people’s power contest confront, and this gained the consent of the opposition. Accordingly, the unification between Candidate Ahn and Candidate Tae-seop Geum began. After two debates, the two decided to unify with a 100% poll. During the debate, the two candidates exchanged a sharp battle and gathered common opinions through criticism of the Moon Jae-in administration.
On the 1st, Candidate Ahn defeated Candidate Geum and was confirmed as a single candidate for the third zone. The unification of the 3rd zone was conducted through a `competitiveness survey` asking “who is more competitive with Park Young-sun and Democratic Party candidates”, and Candidate Ahn won.
Candidate Sang-ho Woo first launched the discussion on unification in the passport. In late December of last year, Candidate Woo insisted, “We must promote the integration of the Open Democratic Party and the party to the opposition unity.” Afterwards, in February, they agreed to unify with candidate Chung Bong-ju on the premise of the party. Although the Democratic Party’s final candidate was former Minister Park Young-sun and the Open Democratic Party candidate Kim Jin-ae, it became a waterfront for unification.
3. 轉: Ahn Chul-soo-Oh Se-hoon, Park Young-seon-Kim Jin-ae Gyeongseon Seongsa
On the 4th, Candidate Se-Hoon Oh won the contest for the Mayor of the People’s Power of Seoul. Accordingly, the final confrontation for unifying the opposition was concluded with Ahn Chul-soo vs. Oh Se-Hoon. As for Candidate Oh’s victory strategy, the strategy of’middle class’ is considered. It is an analysis that Candidate Oh got more midway votes than Candidate Kyungwon Na.

In pan-passport, candidate Park Young-sun and Candidate Jo Jung-hoon for the transition to the era agreed to unify, who won the Democratic Party’s primary election. After one debate, the two agreed to unification through 100% public opinion polls, and candidate Park won the victory on the 7th.
The unification with the Open Democratic Party was a bit creaky. Candidate Jin-ae Kim insisted that at least three debates were needed to raise the topic of the opposition unity, but the Democratic Party expressed discomfort that it could not take time to prepare for the main election. As a result, Candidate Kim resigned as a member of Parliament, and eventually agreed to hold two debates.

4. 結: Expect the effect of the final convention
Now, both the pan-passport and the opposition are nearing the final stage. Candidate Young-seon Park and Candidate Jin-ae Kim will decide on a single candidate for the final passport by reflecting 50% of each of the Seoul citizens’ polls and party member votes on the 17th. Candidate Chul-soo Ahn and Candidate Se-Hoon Oh have not yet agreed on the unification rule, but announced that the final candidates will be announced on the 19th through public opinion polls on the 17th and 18th.
Both the opposition parties are expected to enjoy the convention effect by making a hot topic in the process of unification, but the camp that will enjoy the relatively maximized effect is expected to become the opposition party. In the unification of pan-passport, the predominance of candidate Park Young-seon is that the tension is low. Rather, inside the Democratic Party, it is an atmosphere that hopes that candidate Park will not be scratched with a more intense’brawl’ than the convention effect.
On the other hand, the unification of opposition rights is a weak aspect. In a recent poll, candidate Oh has slightly reversed Candidate Ahn. In addition, it is expected to generate synergy effects in conjunction with public opinion aggravated by the sudden rise of the’Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH) speculation’.
[이석희 기자/이은주 인턴기자]
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