At the beginning of the new year, the topic of the two former presidents’ pardons raised by the Democratic Party representative Lee Nak-yeon is still ongoing. Lee, who threw the number of wins and losses, is not claiming pardon despite fierce opposition inside and outside the party. He emphasizes “loyalty for integration”, but there are many analyzes in the political world that the strategic decision to target the midpoint in the April Seoul and Busan mayoral elections and next year’s presidential elections is laid down in amnesty.
President Moon Jae-in (left) and Lee Nak-yeon, together with Democratic Party representatives. Representative Lee pulled out a pardon card for the former president ahead of an important election. In the political world, it is evaluated as a strategy for targeting the middle class vote. Blue House Photo Reporters
In a call with JoongAng Ilbo on the 5th, Park Seong-min, the representative of the political consulting’Min’, diagnosed that, “Ahead of an important election, a plan aimed at expanding support to the middle class was in operation.” “Even if the amnesty does not lead to the expansion of the middle class, it can change the vote of the middle class by emphasizing the’integration’ issue.” .
In fact, President Moon went through seven national elections after entering politics in the winter of 2011. Democratic party-affiliated parties lost when leaned only on strong supporters, and won elections focused on targeting the middle class. It is the formula of’Faction Confrontation = Defeat ㆍMiddle Expansion = Victory’.
Former CEO Lee Hae-chan, who ran for Sejong City ahead of the 19th general election in 2012, demanded a quick resignation of candidate Kim Yong-min, a member of the controversial ‘Na Kom-soo’. However, the then-representative Han Myung-sook did not accept this claim, and the general election, which even said “an election that can never be lost”, ended in defeat.
Ahead of the 2012 general election, the then-representative Han Myung-sook wrapped up the rule of candidate Kim Yong-min at the time, who created a’last controversy’. Even within the party, there were concerns that “20 seats could be blown away because of candidate Kim Yong-min,” but the leadership at that time dismissed the concern, saying, “An election that can never be lost.” As a result of the election, the Democratic Party was defeated. Central photo
The Democratic Party also relied on strong supporters in the December presidential election of that year. At that time, Candidate Jae-in Moon refused to visit the graves of former Presidents Syngman Rhee and Jeonghee Park. Supporters cheered, but Moon lost to Candidate Park Geun-hye, who focused on targeting the middle-class votes through’economic democratization’.
The same was the case in the 2014 local elections, which hung on the Sewol ferry issue. At that time, the election strategy of the joint representatives of Kim Han-gil and Ahn Chul-soo was in fact tailored only to the Sewol ferry, negatively affecting the results. Even the upcoming July 30 re-election was defeated, and the New Political Democratic Alliance was virtually broken. Even in the situation of losing the election consecutively, hard-liners held a general meeting of parliamentarians every day and continued to criticize the special law of the Sewol ferry that the leadership had agreed upon.
President Moon, who experienced three defeats in the big elections, revised his election strategy to target the middle class while serving as the opposition leader. A representative example was the visit to the graves of former presidents Syngman Rhee and Jeonghee Park, which were set as the first official schedule after taking office in 2015.
Ahead of the 2016 general election, a large number of political newcomers who were not from the activists were recruited to improve the party constitution. At this time, Rep. Young-min Yoo, who was from LG, and Hyang-ja Yang from Samsung Electronics, were recruited. Party power was handed over to Kim Jong-in, the current Chairman of the People’s Strength Hypertrophy. Efforts to target the middle class led to victory in the general election.
On February 9, 2015, the day after President Moon Jae-in was elected president of the New Political Democratic Federation, he visited the graves of former Presidents Syngman Rhee and Junghee Park. At the time, the highest commissioners boycotted the event even if they violate President Moon’s instructions. President Moon won the general election the following year, and after targeting the middle class, he won’four straight victories’ in the election.
After the impeachment of former President Park Geun-hye, he won the 2017 presidential election and the 2018 local election held at a time when Moon’s approval rating reached 81% right after the inter-Korean summit. In addition, the Democratic Party won 180 seats in the general election in April last year, when President Moon’s approval rating from the middle class was 55% due to the outcome of corona prevention. After 3 consecutive victories, 4 consecutive victories, the formula of’mid expansion = victory’ was confirmed.
However, in the process of concluding the’Chumi-ae and Yoon Seok-yeol conflict’ with the defeat of the passport and the Blue House, the departure of the middle class was remarkable. It was unfortunately raised in the’Lee Nak-yeon’ issue with the middle-class approval rating falling to the mid-30% level. It is a general observation of the political world that it is unlikely that Lee, who crosses with a stone bridge, would have raised the claim of pardon without sympathy with President Moon.
President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un are crossing the Panmunjom Military Demarcation Line on the morning of April 27, 2018 for the inter-Korean summit. In the local elections held at the time, the middle class showed great interest in the current of reconciliation between the two Koreas. As a result of the election, the Democratic Party won overwhelming victory. yunhap news
Professor Ahn Byung-jin of Kyung Hee University said, “Passport officials share through experience that the separation of the middle class is a fatal bad news in the election.” It is very likely that it was taken out.”
Reporter Kang Tae-hwa [email protected]