The biggest crisis since the inauguration of President Moon… Impossible scenario’Living with Yoon Seok-yeol’

On the 25th, in front of the Supreme Prosecutors’ Office in Seocho-gu, Seoul, a wreath of support for Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol is placed. The court made a citation decision on the previous day in the case of a request for suspension of execution against Minister of Justice Choo Mi-ae by General Yoon, saying, “The effect of the disciplinary action will be suspended until the 30th day from the date of the decision of the first trial of the original lawsuit”. General Yoon goes to work this afternoon and starts working in earnest. 2020.12.25/News1 © News1 Reporter Eunna Ahn

It is analyzed that President Moon Jae-in faced the greatest crisis since his inauguration as the court suspended the effect of the’two months’ disciplinary action against Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol on the previous day (24th). The government has put the disciplinary action against Prosecutors in line with the reform of the prosecutors’ office and has taken criticism and promoted it, but it is an assessment that the cause of the reform of the prosecution was shaken by the fact that Yoon was actually filling his term of office.

The Blue House kept a heavy silence on the previous day, saying, “There is no announcement of the position,” and attention is focused on what kind of political choices President Moon will make.

The 12th division of the Seoul Administrative Court (President Judge Hong Soon-wook Kim Jae-gyeong Kim Eon-ji) accepted the request of President Yoon after the second hearing date on the previous day’s request for suspension of execution of a two-month disciplinary action suspended by President Yoon against Justice Minister Chu Mi-ae. .

The judge partially quoted, saying, “The two-month suspension of action against the applicant on the 16th of the past will be suspended until the 30th day from the date of judgment in the case (original lawsuit) for revocation of disciplinary disposition.” I made a decision. In addition, all of Yoon’s hands were raised against the reasons for his disciplinary action, such as’judges’ and’political neutrality violations’.

As the result of the disciplinary action lawsuit is highly likely to take more than 7 months, Yun is expected to be able to serve the remaining term until July next year. As a result, the government’s and ruling party’s’killing out Yun Suk-yeol’ ended in failure.

The political burden on President Moon, who finally approved the punishment against President Yoon, is also inevitable. President Moon reapproved the punishment of President Yoon about 14 hours after the decision of’two months of honesty’ by the Prosecutors’ Disciplinary Committee of the Ministry of Justice, saying, “I hope that this will serve as an opportunity for the prosecution to stand right”, and in fact turned the responsibility for the conflict to the prosecution.

In addition, he raised his appreciation to Minister Chu, saying, “If it had not been for Minister Chu’s momentum and determination, reform of power institutions including the reform of the airlift and the right of investigation would have been impossible.” This is why it is difficult to empower the Cheong Wa Dae position that’the president only enforces the disciplinary results of the disciplinary committee’.

In particular, as President Yoon returns to work as soon as this afternoon, it is expected that investigations that put a burden on the regime, such as intervention in the Ulsan mayoral election, optimus and lime fraud, and the decision to close the first Wolseong unit early, are expected to accelerate. The Seoul-Busan mayoral elections in April next year and the presidential elections in the next year should also be held in a tense situation with the prosecution.

While General Yoon is firmly defending the prosecution’s command,’Prosecution Reform Season 2′, which deprives the prosecution of investigative power and allows only prosecution and prosecution, may face difficulties if Minister Chu’s control over the organization weakens. If the’prosecution reform’, which President Moon and the ruling party supporters most longed for, goes aground, the possibility that public sentiment will depart and flow into a lame duck cannot be excluded.

Right now, the opposition went on the offensive, saying, “The President himself tried to intimidate the judiciary, but the judiciary chose laws and principles.” Yoo Seung-min, a former member of the Future Integration Party, argued that “the good pan of tyranny is over. The lame duck has begun.”

President Moon Jae-in. 2020.12.22/News1 © News1 Reporter Park Jung-ho

Accordingly, attention is paid to how President Moon will overcome the difficulties. Blue House spokesman Kang Min-seok said, “The court decision came out at a late time. There is no announcement of the Blue House position today” through a notice sent to reporters on the day before. It is known that the Blue House is seeking a response direction internally.

In a situation where passport supporters consider President Yun as a de facto’enemy of the regime’, it is a burden for the government to hold his term in office until July next year. If Yun does not voluntarily resign, the remaining term will be filled.

Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun has already suggested that Yoon’s voluntary resignation as a solution. Prime Minister Chung said at a weekly meeting with President Moon on the 30th of last month, when the conflict between Minister Chu and President Yoon was in full swing, “The disciplinary issue of President Yoon is a huge burden on the administration of the state. In particular, regardless of the disciplinary procedure, President Yoon can perform his duties. He said, “It is inevitable to voluntarily resign as much as he has brought his own absence.

In addition, on the 20th, he appeared on a broadcast and urged President Yoon to voluntarily resign, saying, “I think it would be good to make a decision to serve the people well.” As a political politician who served as a member of the 6th National Assembly and the party leader three times, it is interpreted that he considered a post-storm if the discipline was eliminated.

However, as President Moon’s direct pressure on President Yoon’s voluntary resignation could face criticism that it undermines the prosecution’s neutrality, it is also possible that the ruling party will step up and intensify a massive prosecution reform attack.

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