Ten thousand households decreased in Busan New Year’s occupancy… It seems to have an effect on the increase in the total set value
Reporter Kang Hee-kyung [email protected]
Input: 2021-01-03 17:31:45Revision: 2021-01-03 18:11:31Posted: 2021-01-03 17:35:19 (p. 15)
The planned number of apartments in Busan this year decreased by 10,000 households from last year. A panoramic view of Haeundae-gu, Suyeong-gu, Busan. Busan Ilbo DB
Last year, the Busan real estate market showed an overheating pattern, starting with Dongbusan, including Haeundae-gu and Suyeong-gu, and the upward trend spread throughout Busan.
Last year, apartment prices in Busan rose by 8.19% on average. It is generally expected that the entire Busan region, excluding Gijang-gun and Jung-gu, will remain unchanged in the first half of this year as regions subject to continuous adjustment in November and December of last year, but there are various variables. In particular, it is a supply and demand problem. There is also a prospect that this year’s apartment occupancy volume will be significantly lower than in previous years, and the uptrend will not easily decline even in the designation of areas subject to adjustment.
36% less than last year
Lowest since 2016
It seems to have an effect on the increase in the total set value
Requirements such as resale restrictions are difficult
Concern about unsold apartments
■Expected to remain flat on a sharp decline in occupancy
According to a real estate survey on the 3rd, the planned number of apartments in Busan this year is 17,674 households. Compared to the previous year’s 27,453 households, the number of households decreased by 10,000, a decrease of 35.7%.
The number of occupants in Busan increased from 2,677 households in 2017 to over 25,000 households every year after 2018, but this year has decreased significantly and reached the lowest level in five years since 2016 (15,612 households). It is expected to do.
Beginning with Saha Station Vista Dongwon (513 households) in Saha-gu in January, Choryang Bestium Central Bay in Dong-gu (449 households) in February, Seorin El Marcentro View in Busan, Jung-gu (120 households), Hwamyeong Central Prugio (886 households) in Buk-gu, Seo-gu in March Dongdaeshin Station Vista Dongwon (503 households) and Gwangan Illin Garden (225 households) in Suyeong-gu are scheduled to move in.
Also, in April, the e-pyeonhansesanggeumjeongsan (1969 households) in Mandeok-dong and Bongrae Eileen Garden (1216 households) in Yeongdo-gu, and in May, the first move-in in Haeundae-gyeongdong-ri (298 households), Haeundae-gu, will begin.
In the second half of the year, there are plans to move into complexes such as Yubora Singupo Peninsula (790 households) in Buk-gu, Hillstate Yeonsan Complex 2 (1309 households) in Yeonje-gu, Dongrae Mian I Park (3853 households), Dongnae-gu, Dongnae-gu SK View (999 households). have.
By region, the number of occupants is concentrated in Dongnae-gu, Yeonje-gu, Buk-gu and Saha-gu. On the other hand, there are no moving-in volumes in Gangseo-gu, Nam-gu, and Gijang-gun, and the number of occupants in Haeundae-gu, Suyeong-gu and Busanjin-gu is also insignificant.
It is a general forecast that the rise in apartment prices will be slowed down as most of Busan is locked into a regulated area, but there is also a prediction that it will be difficult to turn into weakness as the supply volume decreases a lot. The jeonse is expected to rise due to a decrease in supply.
Possibility of polarization in the pre-sale market
It is expected that over 20,000 apartments will be sold in Busan this year. As a result of a real estate survey, construction companies are planning 25,817 households this year, 8.4% higher than the 23,808 households sold last year. However, the actual pre-sale volume every year is expected to decrease from the time of plan, and this year, especially, due to the influence of the designation of the target area, it is expected to be in the low 20,000 range, which is less than last year’s performance. Resale is restricted, and the requirements for subscription qualifications become strict due to the designation of the area subject to adjustment, and the pre-sale is more restricted than last year, such as being tied to a high pre-sale price management area.
The pre-sale market may be polarized this year. Representative Lee Young-rae said, “After some areas of Busan were grouped as a target area in 2016 and 2017, the amount of unsold goods steadily increased, and as it was released in 2019, the amount of unsold items gradually resolved.” It is expected that there will be many subscriptions, but unsold items may appear in complexes where the interest of consumers is less.”
Once as the construction companies planned earlier this year, the pre-sale will be concentrated in Gangseo-gu, Dongnae-gu, and Busanjin-gu. In particular, there is a lot of interest as 6868 households in 8 complexes are scheduled to be sold in Eco Delta City, Gangseo-gu. Daewoo E&C, Daelim Industrial, and Daebang E&C are expected to start selling in earnest this summer. In addition, reconstruction of’Raemian Forestage’ (4043 households), Yangjeong 1 housing redevelopment area (2276 households), Eomgung District 1 (1481 households), Eomgung District 3 (1313 households), Gwangan District 2 (1237 households), Dongnae-gu Oncheon District 4 · The amount of redevelopment exceeds 10,000 households.
Reporter Kang Hee-kyung [email protected]