When the 4/7 Seoul Mayor’s by-election is held in a three-way confrontation, a public opinion poll resulted on the 15th that the people’s strength candidate Oh Se-hoon will lead the Democratic Party candidate Park Young-seon with a slight margin of error.
As a result of a survey of 1,30 Seoul citizens over the age of 18 on the 13th to 14th by Real Meter commissioned by the Munhwa Ilbo, candidate Oh recorded 35.6% in the three-way match. Candidate Park was 33.3%. The sample error of the real meter survey was ±3.1% points with a 95% confidence level.
Candidate Ahn Chul-soo of the Nationalist Party had a 25.1% approval rating.
Candidate Oh received high support from those aged 60 and over (45.2%) and 50s (42.8%), conservatives (55.1%), supporters of the people’s strength (67.8%), and negative evaluations of presidential administration (54.3%).
Candidate Park received a lot of support from the Democratic Party supporters (83.9%) and the presidential positivity (84.5%), and also in his thirties (40.6%) and progressives (63.9%).
Candidate Ahn received high support from the ages of 18 to 29 (34.9%), the middle class (31.4%), the supporters of the National Assembly (56.5%), and the negative evaluation of the president (35.9%).
In the fictitious bilateral confrontation, the result was that the single candidate for the opposition was ahead by a large gap.
In the bilateral confrontation with Candidate Oh, Candidate Oh was 54.5%, and Candidate Park 37.4% 17.1% In the confrontation with Candidate Ahn, 55.3% of Ahn and 37.8% of Park were 17.5% Prevailed.
Details can be found on the website of the Central Election Polls Review Committee.