Two-seat election, close to 1%P or less
Democracy, mobilization of funds, recent market sales advantage
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The Georgia runoff vote, which will determine the majority of the US Senate, is flowing in a very close match.
On the 28th (local time), a political website ‘538’ analyzed various opinion polls, and in the regular election of the Georgia Senate, Republican candidate David Purdue reached 47.9% of the vote and 0.1% of the Democratic Party candidate John Osoff (47.8%). Leading by point difference. In a special election to fill the remaining tenure of Rep. Johnny I. Jackson, who retired in December last year, Democratic candidate Rafael Warnock is leading Republican candidate Kelly Loeffler, 48.3%, with 48.3%, 1 percentage point.
The Georgia final vote took two seats in the Senate. Although the Senate elections were held together during the presidential election on the 3rd of last month, the state of Georgia will hold a final vote on January 5th next year because there are no majority votes. As of now, the gap in the approval rating of both digits is below 1 percentage point, which is within the margin of error.
The Senate seats with a total of 100 seats are currently 50 Republicans and 48 Democrats. The Republican Party retains the majority as long as it occupies one of the two seats. On the other hand, if both positions are transferred to the Democratic Party, the Democratic Party becomes the majority party. The number of seats in Ui is 50-50, but in the case of a tie, the vice president exercises a casting boat.
The Republican Party who lost the presidential election must dominate the Senate, but the situation is not easy. The Democratic Party leads the way in mobilizing funds. The two Democratic candidates have raised more than $100 million in election funding each in about two months. In contrast, the two Republican candidates each raised $60 million in funding.
The recent atmosphere is also favorable to the Democratic Party. Georgia has traditionally been a Republican garden, but during this presidential election, President-elect Joe Biden won over President Donald Trump with a difference of 12,000 votes. The New York Times (NYT) recently assessed that “the Democratic Party was inspired by successive successes in Georgia.
Both parties also fought all-out war. Following the campaign in Georgia on the 15th, Biden-elect is providing advertisements and other various supports. Vice President-elect Kamala Harris and former President Barack Obama are also continuing the campaign. President Trump is also taking another step in the Georgia campaign on January 4, next year, the day before the election. President Trump’s daughter Ivanka Trump also visited Georgia and fired in support of the Republican candidate. Vice President Mike Pence made several visits to Georgia.
As such, the number of voters who participated in pre-voting until the 23rd, before the Christmas holiday, is 2.1 million, showing a similar trend as in the 11th and 3rd presidential elections. The New York Post ordered President Trump, who disapproved of his defeat in the presidential election, that “we should stop thinking about overturning the election results and focus on thinking about winning the Georgia runoff.”
/New York = Correspondent Kim Young-pil [email protected]
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