Candidate Se-hoon Oh, who has been confirmed as a single candidate for the opposition by the mayor of Seoul, is holding a press conference at the Seoul Yeouido National Assembly Communication Hall on the 23rd. Reporter Oh Jong-taek
Candidate Se-hoon Oh was elected on the 23rd as a single candidate for opposition for the 4/7 Seoul Mayor’s by-election after defeating candidate Ahn Cheol-soo.
The previous day, two public opinion polls targeting 3,200 citizens of Seoul asked about’suitability’ and’competitiveness’ in half, and in the polls, Candidate Oh beat Candidate Ahn. The Public Officials Election Act only permits the publication of the results of a single candidate poll, and prohibits the disclosure of specific votes. However, a key official of the people’s strength said, “Candidate Oh was dominant in both the’suitability’ and’competitiveness’ that the two companies respectively surveyed, and as a result, a victory outside the margin of error.”
Candidate Oh said at a press conference after victory this morning, “Let’s forget where we were until yesterday (22nd) and do our best together for victory in desperate and desperate ways.” I will surely accept the strict orders of all citizens to open.” Candidate Ahn also said at a press conference that afternoon, “I respect and humbly accept the choices of Seoul citizens.” “I will do my best to win the opposition. We will put together a bridgehead for regime change.”
The de facto one-on-one composition of’symbol number 1’and’symbol number 2′
As a result, the election for the mayor of Seoul will be held in a de facto one-on-one composition between the Democratic Party candidate Park Young-seon and the people’s power of the People’s Power No. Oh Se-hoon. Candidate Park, who fought against a single opposition candidate, emphasized, “The composition is now clear,” and “is the future mayor Park Young-seon of Seoul or the old and failed mayor?” he emphasized.
In the virtual bilateral confrontation survey conducted by JoongAng Ilbo to Ipsos on the 19th and 20th, candidate Oh’s approval rating (50.6%) was 13.8% ahead of Park (36.8%). The flow continues. (For more information, refer to the website of the Central Election Survey and Deliberation Committee)
As the election structure is reorganized into a one-on-one composition of the ruling ruling party and the 1st opposition party candidates for 15 days before the voting, the competition for the reversal of the panse and the life and death of both sides for Mercury is expected to unfold.
In particular, from the standpoint of the opposition party, whether to overcome the dissonance expressed in the process of unification and to achieve the’beautiful unification effect’ of Candidate Oh’s public power and Candidate Ahn’s National Assembly through harmonious union is considered as an important variable for election victory. .
The unification of the opposition to the Seoul Mayor’s election took place a year ahead of the March 9 presidential election next year. It is more than just the one-year term of the Seoul Mayor’s election, it is the starting point of the reorganization of the opposition right ahead of the presidential election.
“The support of the people’s strength will vote for the insider (Oh Se-hoon) rather than the outsider (Ahn Cheol-soo)”
As for Candidate Oh’s victory, it is analyzed that “the supporters of the people’s strength with strong organizational power and unity are stronger than outsiders (Ahn Cheol-soo), but in the aspect that votes for the party’s personnel (Oh Se-hoon).” This is the reason why candidate Ahn says, “I only lost to a huge organization that will take the mark number 2”.
From the standpoint of the supporters of the people’s strength,’who can win the Democratic Party candidate’ was an important criterion rather than’which candidate is better’. At the beginning of the election, it was judged that the candidate for defeating the Democratic Party was not a candidate, but as public opinion over the passport rapidly deteriorated due to the land speculation of the Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH), the atmosphere was created that no matter who came out as a single candidate for the opposition could win. In the end, when the opinion poll indicators became clear that the opposition was favorable, the traditional conservative supporters chose the insider over the outsider.
Professor Kim Hyung-jun of Myongji University (political science) said, “The fatal limitation of the 3rd zone candidate is the lack of last-minute organizational power.” Yoon Tae-gon, head of The Moa’s Political Analysis Office, also said, “Candidate Oh’s steadfastness has an impact, but the strategic choice of the people’s supporters seems to have a greater impact.”
Kim Jong-in (left), Chairman of the People’s Power Emergency Response Committee, and Ahn Chul-soo (right), President of the National Assembly Party. yunhap news
The role of Kim Jong-in, chairman of the People’s Power Emergency Response Committee, is also drawing attention. Chairman Kim strongly pressed against Candidate Ahn, saying, “You can win even with a three-way structure,” even before the party race began. There is also an evaluation that the frame was created so as not to lose the initiative to candidate Ahn outside the party while taking the criticism pouring out from some of the party. Jang Seong-cheol, director of the Sympathy and Controversy Policy Center, said, “Chairman Kim Jong-in’s steadfastness played a role.”
Se-Hoon Oh and Jong-In Kim share the roles of’Good Cop and Bad Cop’
There are also opinions that Candidate Oh and Chairman Kim divided the roles into’Good Cop-Bad Cop’ as a result of success. Director Tae-gon Yoon said, “I think that the negatives for Candidate Ahn are in charge of Chairman Kim, and Candidate Oh is mainly in charge of positives, so it seems that the strategic roles have been divided.” A key official from the Office of People’s Strength said, “At the end of the unification negotiations, the two sides were in conflict over the timing of the polls, but delaying the polls was advantageous to Candidate Oh, who was on the rise.” It was true.”
Some analysts say that “the personal skills were ahead of the TV debate” (Director Seong-cheol Jang) or “Candidate Ahn was faced with a headwind after making excessive negatives on the land problem in Naegok-dong” (Oh’s official).
With the victory of Candidate Oh, the power of the people became the first opposition party to maintain the central role of the opposition.
However, there is an analysis that only centrifugal force has increased in relation to the third zone candidates, including former prosecutor general Yoon Seok-yeol, in the future presidential election process. Lee Sang-il, director of KStat Consulting, said, “If you win the re-election, the power of the people will be revived as the center of the actual opposition.” The voice that the presidential election has to be held can be loud.” Director Lee predicted, “However, if former President Yun and others become independent, the unification of the presidential election may become a very difficult picture.”
Attention to the role of’loser’ Ahn Chul-soo in the presidential election phase
For this reason, the role of Candidate Ahn, who lost in the unification competition, is drawing attention. An official from the power of the people said, “Candidate Ahn has become a person of the opposition completely through this contest.” For the victory of next year’s presidential election, not only the people’s strength, but also the values of fairness and justice, and the strong support of the conservatives and Yeongnam. Together, former President Yoon, who has a base in the Chungcheong region, and Candidate Ahn, who has a strong support base for the 20s and 30s, should all join forces.”
Reporter Heo Jin [email protected]
