Samsung Galaxy S21, shipment may be less than 30 million units

Galaxy S21 series, parts orders slightly exceeded previous products
Galaxy S shipments are expected to be difficult in the mid-30 million units of the previous year

Samsung Electronics Galaxy S21 Ultra (2021 model)
Samsung Electronics Galaxy S21 Ultra (2021 model)

It is reported that Samsung Electronics is holding an estimate of 26 million units for the Galaxy S21 series shipments released this month. This is less than the 35 million units of the previous year’s shipment of the Galaxy S series.

According to an official from the multiple parts industry on the 25th, it was found that Samsung Electronics is holding an estimate of 26 million units for the Galaxy S21 series shipments. Last year, when sales were extremely sluggish, the Galaxy S20 series shipments were only 26 million units, which is a conservative figure for the Galaxy S21 26 million units. Samsung Electronics is reported to have contracted due to a decrease in its position in the premium product market and a decrease in the chances of consumers visiting offline stores due to the continued Corona 19.

Samsung’s Galaxy S21 series model shipments are estimated at 10 million units (40%) for 6.2-inch general models, 8 million units (30%) for 6.7-inch Plus models, and 8 million units (30%) for 6.8-inch ultra models. Compared to last year, the proportion of the top model Galaxy S21 Ultra increased. Last year, Samsung Electronics predicted that shipments of the Galaxy S20 Ultra, the top model in the Galaxy S20 series, will be the lowest, but the forecast was wrong. Eventually, the supply of the Galaxy S20 Ultra could not keep up with the demand, so it missed the right time to sell.

In the parts industry, shipments of the Galaxy S21 this year will exceed those of the previous Galaxy S20, but it will be difficult to recover from the previous year’s level, which had sold to the mid-30 million units. Even considering Samsung Electronics’ prudent move to reduce parts inventory, looking at the recent orders for additional parts after the initial volume, it is predicted that Galaxy S21 shipments may slightly exceed 30 million units or less than 30 million units.

On the 15th, at Samsung Electronics' Galaxy Unpack 2021, Noh Tae-moon, president of Samsung Electronics' wireless business, introduces the Galaxy S21 series.
On the 15th, at Samsung Electronics’ Galaxy Unpack 2021, Noh Tae-moon, president of Samsung Electronics’ wireless business, introduces the Galaxy S21 series.

Since smartphone sales are concentrated in three months after launch, and the box office is decided in the first month, the prospect of the industry is likely to become a reality if the sales volume of the Galaxy S21 does not increase significantly over the next month. The production capacity of Samsung Foundry, which produces Exynos, the AP of the Galaxy S21, is also a variable. Currently, it is difficult to allocate additional production capacity for the Samsung foundry due to increased demand for system semiconductors.

The sales volume of Apple’s iPhone 12 series released last year, and China’s Xiaomi aiming for an empty spot in China’s Huawei could also have an impact on the Galaxy S21’s box office. If Xiaomi, which was put on the black list by former US President Donald Trump before retirement, is sanctioned by the US government, the Galaxy S21 could receive a slight reflection. Galaxy S21 marketing is expected to play an important role in the European and US markets where the Corona 19 situation is severe.

In order to increase sales of the Galaxy S21 series this year, Samsung Electronics lowered some specifications such as display and lowered prices for the general and plus models. Samsung Electronics’ sales of the Galaxy S9 series were sluggish in 2018, but in the Galaxy S10 series in 2019, in addition to the basic and plus models, Samsung Electronics launched a total of 4 models, including the entry-level model (Galaxy S10e) and 5G products (Galaxy S10 5G), resulting in a series shipment of 35 million units. Recovered to the level.

Meanwhile, Samsung Electronics is expected to struggle in the 5G smartphone market this year. Market research firm Trend Force predicted that Apple (35%), 2nd Oppo (14%), and 3rd Vivo-Samsung Electronics (13% each) ranked the 1st in the 5G smartphone market this year. According to another market research company Strategy Analytics (SA), Huawei ranked first in 5G smartphone shipments last year (790.6 million units, 29%). Second place is Apple (52.30 million units, 19%), and third place is Samsung Electronics (41 million units, 15%). Apple’s first 5G smartphone iPhone 12 series, launched in October last year, exceeded the sales of 5G smartphones sold by Samsung Electronics for one year.

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