Politics BAR: Politics: News: The Hankyoreh

material photo” alt=”Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung, former Prosecutor General Yoon Suk-yeol, and Lee Nak-yeon, together with Democratic Party representatives. material photo” />

Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung, former Prosecutor General Yoon Suk-yeol, and Lee Nak-yeon, together with Democratic Party representatives. <한겨레> Material photo

There is one year left for the presidential election on March 9, 2022. Who will be the next president? In addition, will the Democratic Party succeed in re-establishment? Will the opposition party succeed in the regime change? I don’t know. This is’Dynamic Korea’. That was the case in all previous presidential elections. Did anyone know beforehand in December 1986, a year before the presidential election was held in December 1987? One year before the December 1992 presidential election, it was expected that the Democratic Liberal Party representative Kim Young-sam and the Democratic Party representative Kim Dae-jung would face each other. However, who knew that in February 1992, Hyundai Chairman Chung Ju-young founded the Unification National Party and challenged the general and presidential elections? One year before the presidential election in December 1997, the New Korea Party presidential election runners were’Nine Dragons’ (Lee Hoi-chang, Lee In-je, Lee Soo-sung, Lee Hong-gu, Park Chan-jong, Kim Yun-hwan, Lee Han-dong, Choi Hyeong-woo, and Kim Deok-ryong). The fact that there were many presidential election runners means that the possibility of re-establishing the New Korea Party was that much. The result was the election of President Kim Dae-jung. One year before the presidential election in December 2002, there was the’Lee Hoi-chang’. The actual result of the presidential election was the election of President Roh Moo-hyun. A year before the 2007 presidential election, there were many prospects that the GNP would win. However, of the two Lee Myung-bak and Park Geun-hye, I had no idea who would win the contest. A year before the December 2012 presidential election, a typhoon hit the GNP. This is because we lost the 2011 October 26 Seoul Mayor’s by-election. Emergency Response Chairman Park Geun-hye changed the GNP into the Saenuri Party and innovated the party. With that momentum, we won the general election and the presidential election. For the 2017 presidential election, the schedule itself has changed. In December 2016, when President Park Geun-hye had one year in office, the National Assembly decided on a bill to impeach the president. The 2017 presidential election was held in May. What will happen from now until March 9th next year? All sorts of outbreaks will come out. What could be? I don’t know. If you can tell, it’s not a breakthrough variable. Therefore, in order to look at the 2022 presidential election, it is only necessary to carefully analyze and forecast the political schedule determined so far and the figures and variables on the surface. Of course, it is very likely to be wrong. The hottest variable at the moment, just one year before the 2022 presidential election, is the sudden appearance of’President Yoon Seok-yeol’. It is still a mystery why the former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol suddenly resigned from his post. It is still a mystery whether he will really get into the presidential game. Former President Yoon Suk-yeol himself said, “The political sense is a blast.” However, looking at the process of quitting the position of president this time, it seems that it is not at all. Kim Jong-in, Chairman of the People’s Strength Emergency Response Committee, said, “I am not a person without a sense of political affairs.” Former President Yoon Suk-yeol publicly expressed his opposition to the Severe Crime Investigation Agency through an interview on March 1. On March 2nd, I was interviewed by phone. On March 3, he visited the Daegu High Prosecutors’ Office and the District Prosecutor’s Office and said, “The prosecution’s complete deprivation of the prosecution’s right to investigate is complete corruption.” And on March 4, he resigned as prosecutor general. This is an impossible procedure unless it is’prepared resignation’ or’planned resignation’. Please read the resignation side once again. It’s short but intense.

Former President Yun Suk-yeol posted a’word to the prosecution’s family’ on the prosecution’s internal communication network. The point is this.

Then I shut my mouth tight. Simple yet strong messages such as’complete corruption’,’destroy the prosecution’, and’damage the rule of law’ spread with echoes. On the other hand, too many messages from the passport criticizing former President Yoon Suk-yeol were pouring out, so I couldn’t figure out what he was talking about. Experts who have watched these scenes carefully over the past few days have diagnosed, “Former President Yoon Seok-yeol seems to be receiving advice from a small number of highly trained elites.” It is said that there is actually an advisory group next to former President Yun Suk-yeol. These are the people who sometimes quote’Yun Seok-yeol’s aide’ in the media. Some are legal, but there are also non-laws. They have recently confessed this to people around them. I didn’t hear it myself, so if I convey the point, it’s like this.

How is it? That’s amazing. I have heard of it, so there is no way to confirm whether this is the thought of former President Yoon Seok-yeol or the thought of the advisory group who said this. If former President Yun Suk-yeol is in his own opinion, he cannot but say that he is a vicious person who is completely different on the outside and on the inside. I hope not. There are some people who have a fire on their feet due to the appearance of former President Yoon Seok-yeol. They are the opposition presidential candidates. Ahn Cheol-soo, president of the National Assembly Party, issued a statement on the resignation of former president Yoon Suk-yeol. It contains this kind of content.

This is the logic that connects former President Yoon Seok-yeol’s resignation to his own theory of victory in the mayoral election of Seoul. As CEO Ahn Cheol-soo, I would expect former President Yoon Suk-yeol to play a role only to that point, inflicting a fatal blow to the Moon Jae-in government. CEO Ahn Chul-soo will try to run for the presidential election next year, regardless of the mayor of Seoul. Therefore, the emergence of strong competitors cannot be pleasing. Independent lawmaker Hong Joon-pyo, looking at the resignation of former president Yoon Suk-yeol, seems to have a complicated head speed. Rep. Hong Joon-pyo is the person who ran as a candidate for the Free Korean Party in the last presidential election and won second place. In the presidential election ruled by the law of’lucky strength’, Rep. Hong Jun-pyo will be growing his dream of becoming the next president. Congressman Hong Jun-pyo posted this on Facebook just before the resignation of former President Yoon Suk-yeol.

How is it? Can you read the thoughts of Rep. Hong Jun-pyo that Former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s resignation and introduction to politics are unwelcome? Rep. Hong Jun-pyo has consistently criticized’Prosecutor Yoon Seok-yeol’ as’the hunting dog of the Moon Jae-in administration’. Rep. Hong Joon-pyo wrote in a Facebook post on March 6, “By pushing out Yoon Seok-yeol, we made the beginning of the division of the opposition.” It is alleged that the Moon Jae-in administration pushed out former President Yoon Suk-yeol to divide the opposition. It is to see former President Yoon Seok-yeol as a strong contender for the presidential election. Among the politicians who were motivated by the emergence of’President Yoon Seok-yeol’ was former CEO Hwang Gyo-an. On the night of his resignation, former President Yoon Seok-yeol revealed on Facebook that he visited Andong, the hometown of Lee Yuk-sa. Former President Yoon Suk-yeol is a typical special department prosecutor and even the prosecutor general, while former representative Hwang Gyo-an is a typical public security prosecutor, including the Minister of Justice, the Prime Minister, acting presidential authority, and the representative of the Future Integration Party. What would former CEO Hwang Gyo-an think of former President Yoon Suk-yeol? In addition, the emergence of former President Yoon Seok-yeol is inevitably threatening to other presidential candidates, such as former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min and Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong, who are struggling due to the low number of public opinion polls. The appearance of’President Yoon Seok-yeol’ is such a big shock to the opposition presidential-level politicians and shakes the whole 2022 presidential election with a year remaining.

Gallup Korea’s Preference for the Next Political Leader in February

Who will survive the fierce competition of opposition presidential candidates? Eventually, it will be decided by a poll. It is said that the person who leads the next presidential candidate’s preference survey wins. Former President Seok-Yeol Yoon, too, will not be able to step up as a presidential candidate unless meaningful figures are obtained from the next presidential candidate preference survey within the next two to three months. Compared to opposition, the competition for passports is not very complicated. Gyeonggi Governor Lee Nak-yeon, Democratic Party representative Lee Nak-yeon, and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun are struggling to pursue Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung, who is trying to solidify the’first power system. The’first lecture system’ was not suddenly created one day, so it seems that this trend will continue for the time being. There are two points to note. First, Lee Jae-myeong, Gyeonggi Governor himself. Athletes who lead the marathon must run through the headwinds. There is also a great risk of getting on the wrong road or tripping on your own feet. Even in the presidential race, the leader is lonely and dangerous. You have to make a’comment’ on all issues, and mistakes can occur in the process. Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s most threatening enemy is’Jae-myeong Lee himself’. Second, it is the reluctance to Governor Lee Jae-myeong remaining among Democratic Rights Party members who strongly supported President Moon Jae-in. There are people who are looking for alternatives, such as former secretary chief Lim Jong-seok, Gyeongnam Governor Kim Gyeong-soo, and Rep. Gwang-jae Lee, shouting’Lee Jae-myung’s invulnerability’. On the other hand, some rights party members have to give Governor Lee Jae-myeong a chance to protect the regime. It will take quite some time in the future for the’Lee Jae-myeong debate’ held by Democratic Rights Party members to be cleared up. There is a prospect that Governor Lee Jae-myeong will not be able to endure and withdraw because the pro-moon rights party members will never tolerate Governor Lee Jae-myeong. I don’t see it that way. That’s the so-called’brain fiscal’ of those who wish to split their passports. It is the old days when the presidential-elected presidents pretended to be the owners of the political party when the influential politicians at the presidential level created new political parties and set up a different life. Right now, the owners of the party are not the presidential elections. Party members and supporters. In particular, the Democratic Party, the People’s Power, and the Justice Party’s owners are certainly party members and supporters. Moreover, Governor Lee Jae-myeong is a’Democratic Party’. Governor Lee Jae-myeong is a former Democratic Party official. In the meantime, he has run for Democratic Party candidates in all elections. Park Won-soon is very different from the former mayor of Seoul. Even if Governor Lee Jae-myeong is at a disadvantage in the presidential nomination, I think he will not leave the Democratic Party. Because I am a Democrat. There are three major political schedules and variables that will affect the next presidential election over the next year.

Park Young-seon (from left) of the Democratic Party (from left), the power of the people, and Candidate Chul-Soo Ahn of the People’s Party of the People’s Republic of Korea. Joint coverage photo

First, the results of the 4·7 Seoul Mayor’s by-election. Second, the results of the Democratic Party’s presidential nominations from late August to early September. Third, the results of the presidential election candidates for the power of the people from the end of October to the beginning of November. The result of the Seoul Mayor’s by-election on April 7th is the first branch point. A completely different scene will unfold depending on whether the ruling party wins or the opposition wins. What will happen? If the ruling party wins, it will be difficult for the opposition party to avoid the whirlwind of political reform. It is expected that the power of the people will be divided or merged with the third powers. Even if the presidential candidates are elected in late October to early November, further unification of the candidates or the consensus phase may continue. In the process, new presidential candidates may emerge and a political landscape that is completely different from what it is now. Can Democrats and ruling party presidential candidates adapt well to such rapid ecosystem change? It will not be easy, I expect. On the contrary, what if the opposition wins the by-election of the mayor of Seoul? Ahn Cheol-soo, Hong Joon-pyo, and Yoon Seok-yeol will enter into fierce competition among the opposition presidential candidates. The fierce competition of the three may raise the board of the opposition as a whole, but it can lead to self-determination and division. On the other hand, the Moon Jae-in administration and the Democratic Party will pursue major party, government, and government innovation due to the sense of crisis that the regime will be taken away. It is as if the Grand National Party lost in the 2011 October 26 Seoul Mayor’s by-election and then innovated the party with Emergency Response Committee Chairman Park Geun-hye. In the end, I predict that the results of the 4·7 mayoral by-election and the 2022 3·9 presidential election have no direct cause-and-effect relationship, or have the opposite effect. There are several rules of the presidential election that are generally accepted by the opposition politicians who have held the presidential elections in the field from 1987 to the present. First, the clear candidate wins whether he would do’what’ or’why’ he would do it when he became president. Second, it is that’charm’ is more important than the’capacity’ of a candidate. Third, the one who maintains the sense of urgency to the end wins. Fourth, the last six months of passion and fashion determine the game. Fifth, the proportion of the’party’ is growing more than the proportion of the’candidate’. I think the first of these is the most important. It’s easy to see why when you think about who was elected in the previous presidential elections. In the end, it is because if you have a clear’vision’ about what you will do when you become president, you can maintain your support as a presidential candidate for a long time and win the election. So, who is the final winner of the March 9, 2022 presidential election? Who do you think you are? Who do you think is the person with the clearest vision? Senior Reporter Seong Han-yong [email protected]