Photographing Yun Seok-yeol who failed in the end…文’Lame Duck Blocking’ has collapsed

On the 25th, a person in charge of a passport with a prone to probation made a statement about the court’s decision to suspend disciplinary action by Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol. President Moon Jae-in’s decision to punish the incumbent prosecutor-general, who had been residing in person (on the 16th), was overturned in eight days, and on that day, the passport appeared in shock. This is because it is difficult to determine the impact of this decision as the current government has devoted more than a year and a half to’prosecution reform’ out of three years and seven months in office. After last year’s’The Motherland Incident’,’Yun Seok-yeol OUT’ was the prerequisite for the picture of the prosecution reform drawn by the passport. On this day, not only the opposition party but also inside the ruling party “This situation will be an inflection point for the Moon Jae-in administration”(Chief Senator) was an observation.

In the opposition, voices warning of President Moon’s “lame duck” were also raised. Former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min wrote on Facebook the day before, “The good pan of tyranny is over,” and “Lame Duck has begun.” The power of the people judiciary members through a joint comment “I hope the Democratic Party can think deeply that the speed of the presidential lame duck can be adjusted only if it is suggested to the President to change the’immediate replacement of Justice Minister Chu Miae’.”Said.

However, what the Democratic Party’s leadership put out as a remedy card was “no interruption in prosecution reform.” Representative Lee Nak-yeon said that afternoon, “the public’s concern that the Republic of Korea is subject to excessive judicial control has increased.” “We will continue to strongly and systematically reform the prosecution to prevent abuse of prosecution power, unfair investigation, and political intervention.”Said.

On this day, the Democratic Party also claimed to have’impeached’ against Yun. Democratic Party lawmaker Kim Doo-gwan said through Facebook “I will prepare a proposal for impeachment of President Yoon”And “I will bring the politics dominated by the prosecutors and courts to the National Assembly”Said. Congressman Kim is following “I appeal for the participation of fellow lawmakers in the ranks of impeachment to protect democracy and protect the president.”I wrote. In the political world, the prospect of “the wave of this situation will not stop here” (Democratic Party officials) is also due to the atmosphere of the Democratic Party insisting on going straight.

The impact of the decision to return to President Yoon this time was made the day after the sentence of the first trial sentence of former Justice Minister Cho Kook-shim, professor Chung Gyeong-shim of Dongyang University, was even greater. If last year’s’motherland situation’ was the entrance to the prosecution reform drive in earnest,’Chief Yoon’s discipline’ was the exit designed by the passport. A member of the metropolitan area of ​​the Democratic Party “The beginning and the end of the prosecution reform were consequently denied by the court.”And “The situation has come to prove the justification of the reform again.”Said.

It is an embarrassing problem for the Democratic Party that the procedure for the immediate prosecution reform was twisted. In the original passport, observations prevailed that the cleanup work of Yoon Seok-yeol’s line would be completed in the order of “disciplined by President Yoon → Greetings from the prosecution officer in January next year”. However, it is predicted that it will be difficult for Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae to take additional personnel measures with Yoon’s return to work. Immediately, the burden of choosing a person with a clear proclivity for a high-ranking public officials criminal investigation has increased. The recommendation committee, which was held for the first time since the revision of the Airlift Act, which removed the opposition party’s non-total rights on the 18th, postponed the decision of the candidate to the 28th according to the strong argument of Minister Chu. The prospect turned around.

It is not expected that it will be easy to secure the power of the’Prosecution Reform Season 2′. The Democratic Party is planning to embark on a revision of the law next year with the main idea of ​​“complete separation of the right to investigate and prosecute,” but it is difficult to expect support from public opinion. Democratic Party Chief Spokesman Choi In-ho “There are many factors in the prosecution reform, but institutionalization is very important. I will make a roadmap for what the National Assembly should do, present it as soon as possible, and put it into action.”He said that he foretold’speed battle’.

The passport is also keen on the direction of the investigation and command of the returning General Yoon. This is because, as President Yoon’s term of office is virtually guaranteed, investigations into’living power’ such as suspicion of intervention in the Ulsan mayor’s election and manipulation of the economic feasibility evaluation of Wolseong nuclear power plant No. How to end the’Lime-Optimus case’ is a matter that requires President Yoon’s judgment. There is a precedent that Yoon immediately approved the request for arrest warrants from officials related to nuclear power plant investigations immediately after his return on the 1st. On that day, I went to work around 12:10 and received a report of my absence.

In this regard, a member of the Democratic Party’s leadership said, “I don’t care too much. If there was anything in the Ulsan case, wouldn’t it have burst before the general election?” However, some members of the Democratic Party also raised concerns that “an investigation aimed at the regime is more dangerous than halting the prosecution reform.” One Democratic aide “There may be someone who opens his mouth among the people involved in the case that have been silent.”And “The prosecution reform also served as a kind of embankment to regulate the speed of investigations aimed at the government, which collapsed.”Said.

In the end, whether the lame duck phenomenon will become apparent depends on the direction of approval ratings. According to the results of the 2020 monthly and yearly integrated public opinion poll released by Gallup Korea on the day, President Moon’s performance evaluation was overwhelmingly high with 67% positive and 25% negative in May, just after the general election, but from July to November. The contention was within ±3%. (Refer to the website of the Election Polls Deliberation Committee for details.) In July, when positive and negative evaluations were within the margin of error, Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae initiated the investigation and command of the’Channel A case’, and the so-called’Chu-Yoon conflict’ began. Matches with

In December, when the conflict over President Yoon’s discipline reached its peak, President Moon’s positive rating was 39% and negative rating was 53%, and the 40% of what was called the’concrete approval rate’ collapsed. Even after Yoon’s return, the passport declared “no interruption to the prosecution reform”, and some observations that the departure of the middle class will accelerate in the future. Professor Shinyul of the Department of Political Science and Diplomacy at Myongji University “From the standpoint of the ruling party, it was chosen to unite the support groups in the second half of the ruling, when the government approval rating would inevitably fall.”Saying “However, there is a possibility that the approval rating will drop sharply depending on the issue of the spread of the Corona 19 vaccine and the results of the’regime investigation’ by the prosecution in the future.”Said.

Reporter Oh Hyunseok [email protected]