Park Young-sun and Oh Se-hoon’two weeks match’ depends on who makes a fatal mistake

Park Young-seon (left) and Democratic Party candidate Oh Se-hoon and People’s Power candidates running for the Seoul Mayor’s by-election. News 1

On the 23rd, the opposition representatives of the 4·7 Seoul Mayor’s by-election were confirmed as Park Young-sun as well as the Democratic Party candidate and Oh Se-hoon as the People’s Power candidate. The Democratic Party’s face that welcomed Oh’s candidate is not bright. A conservative candidate who came up with a ‘regime judge’ is burdensome as the government office was hit directly by the aftermath of land speculation by employees of Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH). The public’s gaze toward Candidate Park is more relaxed. Candidate Oh, who became the protagonist of the’Conservative Opposition Candidate Single Drama’, believes that the chances of victory will increase if Bum Conservative gathers together.

But hasty predictions are dangerous. There are 15 days left until Election Day, and it is the nature of public sentiment that it turns and fluctuates in an instant.

The strengths and weaknesses are similar… Only high degree of morality verification

Candidate Park and Candidate Oh’s’character competitiveness’ is not easy to determine the superiority and inferiority. Candidate Park is a veteran politician who served as a fourth-tier National Assembly member and minister of SMEs. Oh, the candidate’s career is also difficult. Candidate Oh, who was a former member of the first National Assembly, has two times served as mayor of Seoul and puts up the record of directing municipal administration.

The familiarity with the public is similar. Candidate Park, a former MBC reporter, was Korea’s first female main anchor. Candidate Oh is also a star attorney who made his name known as the TV program’Oh Attorney, Deputy Attorney’.

Even the’morality suspicion’ that each other has pointed out as a weakness, neither side has a decisive herbal medicine. The controversy over Park’s husband’s possession of an apartment in Tokyo, Japan, raised by the power of the people, and the suspicion of self-compensation by his wife in Naegok-dong, Seoul, attacked by the Democratic Party, are issues that once passed through the verification regime a few years ago.

Park Young-sun (right), together with Democratic Mayor Mayor Oh Se-hoon, and Mayor Oh Se-hoon, greet at an event held at the Shilla Hotel in Jung-gu on the 17th. News 1

Se-Hoon Oh, who is in the mood for regime judge + unification, how far?

From the standpoint of Candidate Park, the key to the game is to silence the’Oh Se-hoon wind’. This is because the rising trend of the unification of opposition candidates and the rise of Candidate Oh, which was fostered by the regime judgment theory, is scary. Candidate Oh (47.0%) beat Candidate Park (30.4%) somewhat in a bilateral confrontation in a poll announced on the 21st of this month by three broadcasting companies and Korea Research International. The approval ratings of Candidate Park (40.8%) and Candidate Oh (41.8%) in the bilateral virtual confrontation between the Hankook Ilbo and Korea Research in February were similar, but widened in about 40 days.

However, so far, opinion polls have been nothing more than a’virtual confrontation’. Depending on how Candidate Oh achieves a’chemical union’ with the Nationalist Party leader Ahn Cheol-soo, the bondage of the pan-conservative camp may be shaken or hardened. If the official election campaign begins on the 25th, it is possible that the Democratic Party, which has advanced organizational power, will provide an opportunity for a rebound with a fierce strategy.

Park Young-seon (right), together with Democratic Mayor of Seoul Candidate Se-hoon Oh and People’s Power of Seoul Mayor, greet at a ceremony on the 8th International Women’s Day. Hankook Ilbo data photo

Signs of negative overheating… Fatal mistake is’variable’

Eventually, the variables are gathered by which candidate side makes a’fatal mistake’. As this election has already become a battle for the future of progressive and conservative camps, the’negative public opinion war’ is a sign of overheating. “The more the election proceeds, the more external factors pose a threat than the candidates’ abilities,” said Eom Gyeong-yeong, director of the Institute for Era’s Spirit. “If negatives are excessive in each candidate camp, the competitiveness of the two candidates will be erased and may cause the support to leave. “I pointed out.

It is also a variable whether the approval ratings of President Moon Jae-in and the Democratic Party will stop declining over the remaining two weeks. Hyung Sik Hong, director of Hangil Research, analyzed that “Park’s approval rate is declining with the approval rate of President Moon and the Democratic Party.”

※ For more information, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey and Deliberation Committee.

Jihyun Kim reporter

Jaeyeon Park reporter

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