New Year’s presidential election polls…

Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung continues to rise. To celebrate the new year, Governor Lee Jae-myeong took the lead in the margin of error in most national polls published on December 31, 2020 and January 1, 2021. Governor Lee Jae-myung and Lee Nak-yeon, together with Democratic Party representatives, and Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, are in the shape of a solid’Third Structure’ (refer to the bottom of the article for an overview of the polls cited in the article).

Lee Jae-myeong, most of the polls ranked first within the margin of error… Three strong points

In a poll released on December 31, 2020, Governor Lee Jae-myeong showed strength. <서울신문>As a result of a survey by the Hyundai Research Institute for the multilateral confrontation of the presidential candidate, Governor Lee Jae-myeong recorded 26.7%, President Seok-yeol Yoon 21.5%, and CEO Nak-Yeon Lee 15.6%. Governor Lee surpassed General Yoon within the margin of error.

In a poll conducted by Kanta Korea at the request of TV Chosun, Governor Lee Jae-myeong ranked first in the margin of error with 18.2%, followed by CEO Nak-yeon Lee (16.2%) and President Seok-yeol Yoon (15.1%).

Governor Lee Jae-myung’s strength continued in the results of various public opinion polls released on January 1, 2021. Governor Lee Jae-myeong ranked first in the margin of error in most surveys.

<동아일보> In the New Year’s poll (Research & Research), Governor Lee Jae-myeong surpassed President Lee Nak-yeon and President Yoon Suk-yeol within the margin of error. Governor Lee recorded a 24.6% approval rating in this survey, with Nak-Yeon Lee and 19.1%, and Seok-Yul Yoon, 18.2%.

<한겨레>-Governor Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating was 23.8% in the case-stat research poll. President Seok-yeol Yoon recorded 17.2%, and Nak-yeon Lee recorded 15.4%.

In the opinion poll conducted by Korea Research International at the request of MBC, Governor Lee Jae-myeong accounted for 20.8%. President Seok-Yeol Yoon was followed by 18.2%, and Nak-Yeon Lee (17.5%).

In the SBS-Ipsos poll, Governor Lee Jae-myeong had an edge within the margin of error. In the survey released on the 1st, Governor Lee Jae-myeong received 23.6%, Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol 18.5%, and Lee Nak-yeon, 16.7%.

On the other hand, in the results of a public opinion poll published on the 1st by Newsis commissioned by Real Meter, President Seok-yeol Yoon took the lead in the margin of error. President Yoon’s preference was 25.1%, CEO Nakyeon Lee 20%, and Governor Lee Jaemyung 19.8%.

  From left, Nak-yeon Lee, Democratic Party representative, Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, and Gyeonggi Province governor Lee Jae-myeong.
From left, Nak-yeon Lee, Democratic Party representative, Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, and Gyeonggi Province governor Lee Jae-myeong.
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Looking at the results of each poll analysis, Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s approval rating (preference) seems to have recorded high approval ratings in ’20s to 40s’ and’the metropolitan area’. “Lee Governor Lee (20.6%) and President Yoon (13.9%) were supported by 40.9% of the respondents in their 40s,” said “Governor Lee had the highest approval rating at 29.7% in Incheon and Gyeonggi. It was analyzed that it was supported by 20% in all regions except Chungcheong (14.7%). The newspaper added, “CEO Nak-yeon Lee showed the highest approval ratings in Gwangju and Jeolla (44.0%), and Seok-yeol Yoon showed the highest approval ratings in Daegu and Gyeongbuk (28.3%).”

MBC said, “Governor Lee was dominant in his 20s, 30s, 40s, and General Yoon in his 50s and 60s. While the ruling party supporters’ preferences were divided between Governor Lee and Lee, the opposition party’s supporters received overwhelming support.” Said.

<한겨레>“Lee Governor received the most support from all age groups except those in their 60s and older,” he reported. “The preference was relatively high among the advanced and middle class.”

Regarding the inclusion of President Seok-yeol Yoon at the top of the polls, Real Meter Senior Expert Bae Chul-ho told Newsis, “Because Yoon is the’one-top’ in the opposition, he has no choice but to receive the greatest benefit from the political change, and the support is resilient. “The structure has no choice but to receive ”

<인용된 여론조사 개요>

▲Seoul Newspaper-Hyundai Research Institute Poll: Survey from December 28 to 30, 2020, 1012 men and women aged 18 years or older residing nationwide, ±3.1% points on the confidence level of 95% sample error, wired/wireless telephone interview, response rate 11.8 %.

▲Chosun Ilbo/TV Chosun-Kanta Korea Poll: Survey from December 27 to 29, 2020, targeting 1010 men and women aged 18 or older residing nationwide, ±3.1% points on the confidence level of 95% sample error, wired/wireless telephone interview , Response rate 8.5%.

▲Dong-A Ilbo-Research & Research Poll: Survey from December 27 to 29, 2020, targeting 1002 men and women over the age of 18 residing nationwide, ±3.1% points on the confidence level of 95% sample error, wired/wireless phone interview, response rate 11.9 %.

▲ Hankyoreh-Casestat Research poll: December 27-29, 2020, 1013 men and women aged 18 years or older residing nationwide, sample error 95%, ±3.1% point on confidence level, wireless full screen contact, response rate 24.4% .

▲MBC-Korea Research International Poll: Survey from December 29 to 30, 2020, targeting 1007 men and women aged 18 years or older residing nationwide, sample error 95%, ±3.1% point on confidence level, wireless full screen contact, response rate 28.5% .

▲SBS-Ipsos Poll: Survey from December 28 to 30, 2020, targeting 1001 men and women aged 18 years or older residing nationwide, ±3.1% points on the confidence level of 95% sample error, wired/wireless telephone interview, 15.1% response rate.

▲Newsis-Realmeter Poll: Survey from December 27 to 28, 2020, 1,000 men and women aged 18 and over residing nationwide, 95% sample error, ±3.1% point on confidence level, wired/wireless ARS, response rate 5.6%

* For more information on the above polls, refer to the website of each public opinion polling agency or the central election poll deliberation committee.

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