Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol is leaving the Supreme Prosecutors’ Office in Seocho-gu, Seoul after expressing his appreciation on the 4th. yunhap news
Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol came out one after another. This seems to be the result of the support of the anti-Democratic Party camp on him, who resigned from the post of prosecutor general while establishing a corner with the ruling powers. However, opinions differ among experts as to how long his rising approval rating can continue.
Both KSOI and Real Meter rise vertically to the 1st place in the presidential election of Yoon Seok-yeol
On the 5th, the Korea Institute of Social Opinion (KSOI) commissioned (TBS) and surveyed 1023 voters nationwide (confidence level of 95%, sample error ±3.1% points) to be eligible for the presidential election. Won first place. Compared to the survey conducted by the same institution on January 22nd, the increase in approval rating reached 17.8 percentage points (14.6% at the time). Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung was 24.1%, down 2.1 percentage points from the previous survey, and Lee Nak-yeon, together with Democratic Party representative, fell 0.4 percentage points to 14.9%. Independent lawmaker Hong Joon-pyo (7.6%), Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun (2.6%), and former Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae (2.5%) were followed. The investigation took place the day after former President Yun expressed his appreciation.
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In the real-meter survey released on the day, former President Yoon ranked first in the presidential election preferences. In the presidential election preference survey (confidence level 95%, sampling error ±3.1% points) conducted by Real Meter against 1,000 voters across the country on the 6th to 7th at the Munhwa Ilbo’s commission, Yun recorded a 28.3% preference. Lee was at 22.4%, and Lee at 13.8%. Compared to the survey from the same institution on the 22nd and 26th of last month, in just 10 days, the approval rating of former President Yoon surged 12.8 percentage points, while former Governor Lee and CEO Lee fell 1.2 percentage points and 1.7 percentage points, respectively. With the sudden rise of President Yoon, the total preferences of pan-passport runners (45.1%) and pan-opposition runners (45.2%), which had increased by more than 10 percentage points 10 days ago, also became tighter (see the website of the Central Election Poll Deliberation Committee for details on public opinion polls).
Yoon Seok-yeol, who is expecting remuneration, can expand midway
The rise in the support of former President Yun was decisive in the congregation of conservatives who recognized him as a sure opposition president who resigned as president. The expectation that former President Yoon, who left office, will advance into politics seems to have also been reflected. In fact, in both opinion polls, former President Yoon’s approval rate was higher than the national average in △the support of the people’s strength △the negative evaluation of the presidential performance of the presidential affairs △conservative oriented people △50s and over 60 years old △Seoul, △Daegu and Gyeongbuk. Notable point is that even in the middle class, former President Yoon beat passport runners and recorded the highest approval rating. According to a survey of the Korea Institute of Social Opinion, 35% of the middle class responded that they supported President Yun, surpassing Governor Lee (23%) and Representative Lee (13.8%). Even in the real-meter survey, the middle class’s support rate was the highest at 31.3%. Yongin University professor Choi Chang-ryul analyzed, “If you make a statement based on justice and fairness on the current issue while keeping a distance from the power of the people as now, I think it will be very expandable in the middle.”
How far is Yoon Suk-yeol’s approval rating? Distribution of expert opinions
Even among experts, opinions are divided on how far the rise of President Yoon will continue. Yoon Tae-gon, head of The Moa Political Analysis Dept. of Agenda and Strategy Group, said, “There was uncertainty about whether or not former President Yoon would politicize. As a result, the expectation for former President Yoon was added,” he diagnosed. Yoon predicted, “If the politics begins in earnest, there will be some parts where the bubble will fall out, but it will be maintained for the time being until the 4/7 re-election before the political reform.” On the other hand, there is also a prospect that this rise is only a sparkling convention effect. Eom Gyeong-yeong, head of the Era Spirit Research Institute, said, “It seems that the frequency of exposure to the media increased due to the company’s fluctuations and recorded high approval ratings. Unless the essence of’Suk-yeol Yoon’s politics’ is proven, the current approval rating should be viewed as a’shiny effect’ that comes from curiosity or anticipation.” He added, “If you can’t properly show what Yoon Seok-yeol is politics, it could fall sharply like former President Ban Ki-moon.” By Jang Na-rae, staff reporter