Democratic Party Member A : “Lee Jae-myeong reached 20% too quickly. Over-face will reveal the base. The approval rating will be stagnant in the box area in the early 20% range.”
Democratic Party Member B : “Basic income, basic housing, etc. Jae Myung-pyo Lee’s’Basic OO’ policy is too radical to expand. It is questionable whether it can exceed the 20% approval rating.”
Gyeonggi Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong was raised in the party as the next presidential candidate in various public opinion polls at the beginning of the new year.
At the time, Congressman A, who was a close friend, said, “Have the Governor’s approval rating stayed at the 20% level for several months. We should have started a full-fledged pace with ready to go up to the 30% level. I don’t think there is any more scalability,” said Park Han. In fact, the Governor has not been able to rise above the mid-20% level since it exceeded the 20% level since the survey in August 2020.
But that ‘30%’ wall was broken. <세계일보>A public opinion polling agency <리서치앤리서치>Gyeonggi Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong recorded 32.5% in the next presidential candidate preference survey announced on January 31st, and entered the first 30% approval rating. It was the result of the two-digit gap between Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol (17.5%) and Democratic Party representative Lee Nak-yeon (13%). Error ±3.1%p, please refer to the central election poll deliberation committee website for details).
As of the 5th, there are no other survey results in which Governor Lee recorded 30% approval ratings. However, unlike most public opinion polls that mainly use the ARS survey method, the 100% telephone interview method shows relatively conservative fluctuations. <한국갤럽> Even in the survey, it is noteworthy that the approval rating of this branch reached 27%. According to the Gallup survey released on the 5th, the approval rating of the governor rose 4%p from the previous month to 27%, widening the gap with Nak-Yeon Lee (10%) in 2nd place and Seok-Yeol Yoon (9%) in 3rd place (Nationwide on February 2-4. For 1002 people 18 years of age or older, a sample error of ±3.1%p for a response rate of 15% and a confidence level of 95%, refer to the Central Election Commission’s website for details).
Lee Jae-myeong’s side “30% approval rating is symbolic… After the Lunar New Year, the bandwagon effect will be visible”
The Governor’s side attaches great significance to the results of this ‘30%’ survey. The 30% figure itself could be called a bandwagon (a trending phenomenon) effect. In particular, there is a view that pays attention to the fact that this result came out before the Lunar New Year holiday, which is the inflection point of public sentiment.
Democrat C, close to Governor Lee, <오마이뉴스>“The competitors wanted to make a frame that this Governor was trapped in the box area in the early 20%, but it was proved by the results of this 30% survey that the approval rating was rising in the form of a ladder.”
Congressman C said, “It is of great significance that the results of breaking 30% for the first time came before the Lunar New Year.” .
Assemblyman D on the side of the Governor also said, “Is it right or not, there is always a lot of talk, but the opinion poll itself has an aspect that affects public sentiment,” he said. “It is symbolic that the breakthrough 30% is.” He also said, “It’s because I’m obsessed with the 4.7 by-election, so there is only one year left for the presidential election. There is absolutely not much time.”
Democrats who are noticing, will they move? ‘8+7’ assembly activities started
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| ▲ Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong attended the “Gyeonggi-do Basic Housing” policy discussion held at Yeouido Glad Hotel on the morning of the 26th, including Rep. Lee Jae-Myeong-gye, Lee Jae-myeong-gye, including Rep. About 20 people, including Lee Gyu-min, Jang Gyeong-tae, Jo Jung-hoon, Choi Ki-sang, and Hong Ki-won, visited the event. | |
| Ⓒ Gyeonggi-do |
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The most notable issue in the future is how Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s approval rating of ‘30%’ affects the movements of Democrats. Although the approval rating is running high, the fact that there is still no support base within the party has been regarded as a major weakness of the governor.
It is said that there are about 15 Democratic Party lawmakers who openly help Governor Lee Jae-myeong. Recently, the so-called ‘8+7’ meeting was formed.
In addition to members of Gyeonggi-do group Jeong Seong-ho (4th line, Yangju, Gyeonggi), Kim Byeong-wook (Jae-sun, Seongnam Bundang-eul, Gyeonggi-do), Kim Young-jin (Jae-eon, Suwon-byeong, Gyeonggi), and Jong-seong Lim (Jae-eon, Gwangju-eul, Gyeonggi), which were previously classified as close to Governor Lee, Lee Gyu-min. (Chosun, Anseong, Gyeonggi), Nam-guk Kim (Chosun, Danwon, Ansan, Gyeonggi), and Jinseok Moon (Chosun, Cheonan-gap, Chungnam), and other first-choice lawmakers were added to the’Eight Members’ Association, supporting this governor from the beginning of the 21st National Assembly.
In addition, seven new members of the reform-minded first-choice lawmakers have joined, including Rep. Min Hyung-bae (Chosun and Gwangju Gwangju), who recently declared public support for the Governor for the first time in the Honam and Chinmun camps.
In this regard, Congressman E in the metropolitan area said, “It would be correct to think that most of the party members, including myself, are still watching the presidential election in the neutral zone.” “The faction or origin is not important, but when the trend is decided, they will have to gather there. I don’t think there will be.”
Governor F on the side of Governor Lee said, “The fact that the results were up to the 30% range means that public sentiment has begun to rise in the district as well (supported by Lee Jae-myung).”
[관련 기사]
Passport Presidential Race 2nd Act, Honam War and the Eruption of Friendship http://omn.kr/1rsuy
The gap between Lee Jae-myeong and Lee Nak-yeon widened in preference for presidential candidates http://omn.kr/1rzd5
Nakyeon Lee-Jaimyeong Lee Yanggang Drama, a year and a half is long and short http://omn.kr/1p2sy