Park Young-sun, the Mayor of Seoul Mayor of the Democratic Party, is responding to inquiries from the panel at a government official debate held at the press center in Jung-gu, Seoul on the morning of the 11th. News 1
Ahn Chul-soo turns away, and Oh Se-hoon beats him. This is a recent trend in the message of Park Young-sun and the Seoul Mayor’s Candidate Camp of the Democratic Party. Candidate Park camp made nine comments on criticism of the opposition candidate from the 4th to the 11th after the appointment of the secretary’s chief and spokesperson. Seven of them were focused on Candidate Se-hoon Oh. On the 11th, he criticized Ahn, who met with the Seoul Civil Service Union and promised to minimize special and political positions, saying, “The mayor’s behavior is not too late after the election” (Spokesman Ko Min-jung), but the amount of messages aimed at Oh was overwhelmingly large.
The qualitative difference was also large. The message aimed at Candidate Ahn was mainly a reaction to Candidate Ahn’s remarks that “the three members (Nam In-soon, Jin Sun-mi, Ko Min-jung) should be expelled from the camp.” On the other hand, toward Candidate Oh, the chief of the camp secretary (Jun-ho Cheon) raised the suspicion of self-preferential treatment in Naegok-dong for the first time, and spokesman Goh Kohn-jeong fired with support for three comments. Candidate Park’s position is “not intended”, but In the political world, there is a considerable view of it as an intended strategy. However, the opposite interpretation of the hidden intention of ‘Oh Se-hun’s hitting’ is proposed at the same time.to be.
① “Aim to divide the middle chart by floating 吳 instead of 安”
Candidate Se-Hoon Oh, Mayor of the People’s Power, is criticizing candidate Park Young-seon, denying allegations of land speculation by Democratic Party lawmaker Chun Joon-ho at the Balsan Neighborhood Park in Naebalsan-dong, Gangseo-gu, Seoul on the morning of the 9th. Reporter Oh Jong-taek
Those who view Candidate Park’s intensive criticism as’floating Oh Se-hoon’ pay attention to the paradox that Candidate Oh is being criticized and raising attention. Candidate Oh’s interest in Google Trends (based on Seoul City) on the 4th to 11th, where Oh was shot all the time, showed interest in Oh (56%) ahead of Ahn (44%). This is the opposite result of candidate Ahn (72%) overtaking Oh (28%) in the same statistics over the past three months. It is an analysis that “the result of reflecting the’pressing effect’ that attracts attention as both workshops are exposed to the public” (Professor Hyung-Joon Kim, Myongji University).
Changes in interest in candidates Ahn Cheol-soo and Oh Se-hoon appear in Google Trends from March 4 to 11. Google Trend Capture
As the strategic paving stone for Sehun Oh’s launch, the’partition of the midway chart’ is discussed. A public opinion poll conducted by Embrain Public on the 7th to 8th, commissioned by News1 (targeted to 1009 adults living in Seoul, ±3.1% of 95% confidence level. For more information, refer to the Central Election Polls Deliberation Committee). In the’Park Young-sun vs. Ahn Chul-soo’ bilateral confrontation, 49.0% of the middle class prefer Ahn and 33.1% prefer Park.did. On the other hand In the bilateral composition of’Park Young-sun vs. Oh Se-hoon’, 33.4% of the middle class supported Park and 41.9% supported Oh.did. Park’s approval rating remained unchanged, but the opposition’s middle-class support decreased by 7.1 percentage points. They said,’No support candidates. It appeared to be scattered in the’Don’t Know·No Response’ layer.
It is interpreted that Park is deliberately launching candidate Oh, who has not been able to support the middle class, to catch the votes of the middle class to determine the victory of the election. A political consultant who requested anonymity said, “After all, the election for the mayor of Seoul is a mid-term battle, but candidate Oh is a relatively easy opponent to drive to the right corner.” I’m ignoring it as if I didn’t have one.”
② “Pressing 吳 and trying to save the advantage of’Answerk’”
In July 2014, Han-gil Kim (from right), Chul-soo Ahn, co-president of the New Political Democracy Association, and Park Young-seon, co-representative of the New Political Democracy Association, are talking at a general meeting of the lawmakers. Central photo
Those who see Park’s criticism as a check against Candidate Oh at face value pay attention to the remarks made by Candidate Park, saying, “Because I know Candidate Ahn, I have my own minds” (Interview with JoongAng Ilbo in February). As candidate Park is likely to be well aware of the weaknesses of Candidate Ahn, he was actively engaged in sniping candidate Oh with the intention of confronting Candidate Ahn in the finals.
In fact, it has been about 10 years since the two candidates Park and An established a point of contact. In particular, in 2014, the New Political Democratic Union formed a line of’Representative-Joint Representative’ with Candidate Ahn. In 2017, there were even reports that Park would join the People’s Party after leaving the Democratic Party. A former official of the Nationalist Party said, “It can be assumed that Park knows one after another about Ahn. There is a possibility that it would be better to take advantage of this advantage and face Candidate Ahn in the finals.” On the other hand, there is a view that “as we knew each other well, taking a primary offensive toward Ahn could be a psychological burden for Park’s position” (Political Consulting Group Min, Park Sung-min).
The fact that the party tax of the People’s Party is relatively weak compared to the power of the people is also mentioned as a cause. The reason is that there is a limit to helping the people if they are unified as Candidate Ahn. An official from the people’s strength said, “Even if it becomes unified, it is difficult to mobilize organizations or funds to help with the current election law. There is not much we can do than we think.”
Reporter Han Young-ik [email protected]
