Kim Jong-un’s succession commemorating as if it were Biden? “Detecting the situation of a late-night fever in North Korea”

At the end of last year, North Korea’s foreign book publisher published a photobook containing the development of weapons and military guidance in the’Kim Jong-un era’ ahead of the 8th party conference. The new ICBM, which appeared on the cover, was first unveiled in October last year at a ceremony held on the 75th anniversary of the party’s establishment. [외국문출판사 화첩 캡처]

Military authorities analyzed that North Korea held a row in Pyongyang late on the 10th.

The Joint Chiefs of Staff announced on the 11th that North Korea had caught the situation in which North Korea held a party congress-related parade at Kim Il-sung Square in Pyongyang on the 10th. This can be interpreted as holding a parade ceremony in commemoration of the appointment of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un as Secretary of State for the Labor Party in North Korea. There is also a character that North Korea performed an armed demonstration ahead of the inauguration of the new US President Joe Biden on the 20th.

On this day, the Chosun Central News Agency reported at the 8th Party Congress on the previous day, “The 8th Congress will decide to appoint Comrade Kim Jong-un high as General Secretary of the Workers’ Party of Korea.” At the party meeting held in the headquarters meeting room of the Central Committee of the Labor Party in Pyongyang, Kim Jong-un was elected as the party general secretary, and then a fervor was held to commemorate this in Kim Il-sung Square.

North Korean troops are marching in a gas mask and protective clothing in a chemical room at a parade ceremony in commemoration of the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Labor Party held at night on October 10 last year. North Korea has the ability to engage in large-scale chemical discharges. [조선중앙통신]

The ROK-US intelligence authorities are also analyzing the possibility of rehearsal while putting weight on the implementation of the parade.

On October 10 last year, three months earlier, North Korea also opened a parade ceremony in commemoration of the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Labor Party in a surprise late at night, and then broadcast a video on the next evening. North Korea released its first fighter jet with LED lights at a rowing ceremony on this day, and unveiled a large number of new ballistic missiles and advanced weapons.

At this time, firecrackers were fired in the center of Pyongyang and a noisy fever ceremony was unfolded, but there was an experience that the military authorities were unable to make judgments about whether it was the main event or rehearsal until North Korea released a video of the fever ceremony.

In October last year, North Korea held a parade ceremony at Kim Il-sung Square in Pyongyang. The event held at midnight in the dark attracted attention with colorful lights such as fireworks. [사진 노동신문=뉴스1]

The military authorities tracked after detecting another trend of preparing for a fever ceremony immediately after the fever ceremony in October last year. This is as the ROK-US authorities grasp the trend of preparing for a feverish ceremony, such as launching fighters three or four times a day.

At this time, the intelligence authorities judged that there was a possibility to hold another fever ceremony when the North Korea began preparing for the parade ceremony and that the 8th party conference was scheduled to be held in January this year.

It is possible that the strategic weapon that appeared in October last year appeared again at the fever ceremony held on the 10th.

It is analyzed that North Korea will be equipped with the new SLBM’North Pole-4ㅅ (Shiot)’, which was unveiled at a fever ceremony in October last year on a newly developed nuclear submarine.[사진 연합뉴스]

On the 9th, North Korea delivered a report on the 7th project consolidation of the Party Central Committee, emphasizing’strengthening of nuclear war deterrence and self-defense’ and mentioning the development of various weapons systems. The report on the same day mentioned last year’s fever and emphasized, “The new model’s huge rocket has affirmed that it has fully demonstrated the best modernity and striking capabilities that our nuclear forces have reached.”

The new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) referred to by North Korea was first unveiled at a feverish ceremony last year. It is estimated that the length has increased from 21m to 24m compared to the existing Hwaseong-15 type. The diameter has also increased slightly, and is evaluated at the level of 2m. The mobile missile launcher (TEL) vehicle, which first appeared along with the missile, also increased. The existing 9-axle (18) wheels increased to 11 (22).

At the end of last year, a North Korean foreign publisher published a photobook containing the development of weapons and military guidance in the’Kim Jong-un era’, emphasizing the test firing of a super-sized missile. [외국문출판사 화첩 캡처]

In a report, North Korea announced for the first time that the research on the design of a nuclear submarine was completed, saying, “It has continuously developed and completed a new high-tech weapon system.” North Korea introduced a larger SLBM at last year’s fever ceremony.

The report enumerates the development of not only strategic weapons, but also new weapons such as super-sized missiles, new tactical rockets, medium and long-range cruise missiles, and hypersonic glide flight combat units. Conventional weapons and models of new weapons under development are also likely to be released.

Reporter Park Yonghan [email protected]