The Japanese archipelago following the earthquake… 1995 Great Hanshin Earthquake▶ Click here for a larger view
In the 10th year of the Great East Japan Earthquake, in which more than 18,000 people died and disappeared, concerns are raised that there is a high possibility of a similarly powerful earthquake in Japan.
The Japanese archipelago is located on the border of four tectonic plates (plates): the Pacific Plate, the Philippine Sea Plate, the Eurasian Plate, and the North American Plate.
According to the latest study by the Japan Government Earthquake Investigation Committee, the probability of a 7.0-class earthquake occurring in the eastern coast of Aomori Prefecture, the northernmost part of Honshu, Japan, across the coast of Iwate Prefecture, within the next 30 years is more than 90% The (日本經濟) newspaper (Nikkei) reported on the 11th.
During the same period, there is an 80% probability that an earthquake of magnitude 7.8 to 8.5 will occur in the offshore of Nemuro, Hokkaido.
In addition, the probability of a 7-scale earthquake occurring in the sea off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, off the coast of Ibaraki Prefecture, and in the eastern sea of Miyazaki Prefecture is 70 to 90%.
The damage is expected to be particularly significant when a huge earthquake occurs along the Nankai Trench that extends from the coast of Miyazaki Prefecture to the coast of Shizuoka Prefecture in the Pacific Ocean.
The Earthquake Investigation Committee predicts that an earthquake with a scale of 8 to 9 will occur with a probability of about 70 to 80% within the next 30 years.
The possibility of earthquakes directly under the capital (earthquakes occurring just below the city) with the epicenter in the southern part of the Kanto region has been raised from a long time ago.
In the worst case, a 7.3 earthquake in the southern part of the city center will destroy or burn 610,000 homes, and the authorities predict that some 23,000 people will be killed.
The economic loss is projected to reach 47 trillion yen (about 494 trillion won) for direct damage and 95 trillion yen (about 998 trillion won) for indirect damage.
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