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Korean Peninsula in the Biden Era
Former US State Department Special Representative to North Korea, Hankyoreh New Year Interview
“Need a disarmament-type step-by-step approach starting with a small deal”
“The US should send a signal to North Korea quickly and celebrate Biden in North Korea.”

on December 21 (local time). Yun, who is staying at his home in Oregon, was connected to Washington by zoom. Screen capture” alt=”Former US State Department special representative Joseph Yoon is conducting a video interview with on December 21 (local time). Yun, who is staying at his home in Oregon, was connected to Washington by zoom. Screen capture” />

Former U.S. State Department Special Representative Joseph Yoon said on December 21 (local time) <한겨레>I have a video interview with. Yun, who is staying at his home in Oregon, was connected to Washington by zoom. Screen capture

Former U.S. State Department Special Representative Joseph Yun said that the new administration, which will be launched on the 20th (local time), will be launched on the 20th (local time) to solve the North Korean nuclear issue. He expressed the view that the’four-party talks’ should be reviewed. He, who served as a special representative for North Korea from the late Barack Obama administration to the early Donald Trump administration, said, “A new policy of involvement must come out using the knowledge gained from President Trump’s approach to North Korea.” In a video interview on December 21st, CEO Yoon said, “Because Biden and his team know that the’strategic patience’ toward North Korea in Obama’s days was not successful, we will not repeat it.” “CVID There is no such thing as a complete, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization), and a policy based on a realistic assessment that North Korea will not give up its nuclear program is necessary.” He suggested, △Simultaneous progression of denuclearization and peace regime, △a phased approach of disarmament-type from small deal to big deal, △four-party talks that fostered the role of Korea and China, and said, “Biden’s team will also be considering these ideas.” Told. “The North Korean nuclear issue is a long-term project that will take several decades,” said former CEO Yoon. The next one year and five months when President Moon Jae-in and President Biden’s terms of office overlap, “(North Korea, the United States) ) To create a process of conversation like this multi-party,” he advised. “Even if there are new strategies for North Korea, in the end the most important thing is North Korea,” he said. “It is important that North Korea does not engage in any provocations until the Biden administration begins to engage.” “The United States should send a signal to North Korea as soon as possible, saying,’We believe in diplomacy and acknowledge the Trump-Kim Jong-un agreement in Singapore as the basis for the next step’, and it is a good signal to send congratulations to North Korea around the inauguration of President Biden. Will be.” In addition, he added, “The Korean government must persuade both North and the United States to send messages to each other early.”

US President-elect Joe Biden speaks on December 29 in Wilmington, Delaware.  Wilmington/Reuters Yonhap News

US President-elect Joe Biden speaks on December 29 in Wilmington, Delaware. Wilmington/Reuters Yonhap News

―How do you see the Biden administration’s foreign policy different from the Trump administration? “Biden and Trump differ greatly in terms of style and policy. In terms of style, Biden has named Tony Blincoln and Jake Sullivan, who have worked together for many years, as Secretary of State and White House National Security Advisor, respectively. Biden will trust them and give them discretion. In terms of policy, Biden believes in alliances and multilateral diplomacy.” ―How is Biden’s government’s policy toward North Korea different from that of Trump? “It won’t be a top-down method like Trump. Biden will not jump to a summit meeting with Kim Jong-un (North Korean State Council Chairman) like Trump, but will rely more on the State Department and the process. The important point is that Biden’s team knows that the’strategic patience’ of Barack Obama’s days when they only pressed against North Korea was not an option, and that some involvement was required. I know it because I was with Blincoln (the then Secretary of State). Biden’s team will not just wait and think much more deeply about how to get North Korea involved.” -Biden-elect has been criticizing the Trump-Kim Jong-un summit. “The Biden team knows that not everything Trump did was wrong. They admit that Trump has opened some doors, and there are some useful parts to Trump’s meetings with Kim Jong-un. We got to know more about North Korea, Kim Jong-un, and Kim Jong-un’s team. A new policy of involvement should come out with good use of that knowledge.” -What is the new engagement policy? “It shouldn’t be’Strategic Endurance Season 2′, but it should be based on a more realistic evaluation. In other words, there is no such thing as a CVID (complete, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization). Biden’s team knows this. Recently (among experts), there has been much more discussion that a peace regime corresponding to denuclearization should be carried out together. And there are ideas that North Korea should engage in disarmament-type dialogue because North Korea will not be completely denuclearized right away. The disarmament method does not mean that North Korea should be recognized as a nuclear state, but rather means starting with a freeze on nuclear and missile tests and gradually making small agreements (small deals), such as restrictions on nuclear material facilities, to a larger agreement. There is also an opinion that multilateral diplomacy, such as four-party talks (South, North, US, China), may be necessary because it has given a much larger role to China or Korea. I’m sure the Biden team is thinking about it.” ―Do you think the four-party talks in which China participates are actually possible? “Yes. The US cannot solve the North Korean nuclear issue alone. The United States will have bigger sticks and carrots in the North Korean problem when China is involved. China also wants to play a bigger role in the North Korean issue, and it should. China emphasizes the parallelism of denuclearization and a peace regime, but it must go in that direction. North Korea may not want China to participate, but even if the United States does not, China can persuade North Korea that’this is the best’.” -The nominee of the Secretary of State Blincoln argues that the Iranian nuclear agreement can be used as a model for the North Korean nuclear negotiations. “The Iranian nuclear agreement is an interim agreement with a limited period and before it is replaced by a larger agreement. Although the situation is quite different between North Korea and Iran (which already possess nuclear weapons), the Iranian nuclear agreement can be a model for North Korea’s nuclear negotiations in that it emphasizes a multilateral framework, proceeds in stages, and is an entrance to a larger agreement.” ―What should the US government do regarding North Korea? “As soon as possible, we must tell North Korea,’The Biden administration will believe in diplomacy and take a step further, and recognize Trump-Kim Jong-un’s Singapore agreement as the basis for taking the next step.’ Biden’s inauguration address is one way to include this message. If North Korea congratulates Biden on the occasion of her inauguration, it would be a very good sign for Biden.” ―Would Biden want to meet Chairman Kim Jong-un this year? “I don’t think I’m thinking of meeting Kim Jong-un right now. But at some point, if there is real progress, we will meet. But let’s face it. The United States wants North Korea to denuclearize, but it also knows that North Korea will not completely denuclearize. Biden’s team knows that this will take decades, not a year or two.” ―The Biden administration is starting now, but the Moon Jae-in administration has only one year and five months left. “Over the next year and five months, all we have to do is create a process. Whether it is bilateral or multilateral, it is enough to set up a process that can be accommodated by the South, North, the United States, and China by discussing issues within them and making small, step-by-step progress. Small deals will be possible during this period. In other words, at the same time as denuclearization, progress must be made on the peace regime. The declaration of an end to the war is also an option. Humanitarian aid to North Korea must also be initiated separately from the political agenda.” ―Do you think North Korea will provoke if Biden’s government is letting go? “North Korea is in a very difficult situation, such as the economy and Corona 19. I think we’ll wait for Biden’s team to show us what kind of engagement policy it is. North Korea won’t wait a year, but it will have to wait a few months after Biden takes office. Any provocation will inevitably turn the debate within the Biden government from involvement to pressure.” ―What will Korea do? “You have to keep all channels open to North Korea and say,’You have to wait, do not do any provocations.’ The United States should also say,’North Korea is waiting, so we must send a message to North Korea early.’ -There is criticism in the US Joya about Korea’s anti-North Korean warfare law. He said he would hold a parliamentary hearing. “This is a political issue in Korea, not a big issue in the US. Congressional hearings are held on a number of issues. The hearing itself doesn’t mean much. While some people in Korea will want to get the United States on this matter, the United States is not eager to get involved in this matter. If you ask if this question will poison the US-Korea relationship, my answer is no.” ―Apart from the Anti-North Korean Warfare Disposal Act, will the issue of human rights act as a challenge to the North Korean-US dialogue? “Yes. Republicans opposing involvement in North Korea will raise the issue of human rights in North Korea. Biden believes in human rights, but it is practical. Everyone knows that North Korea won’t talk when it comes to human rights issues first. There are ways to discuss security issues, such as letting multilateral organizations like the United Nations lead the issue of North Korean human rights.” Washington/Hwang Jun-beom correspondent [email protected]

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