Experts “Pass score of 100,000 units supply plan including Gwangmyeong… Speed ​​is key”

Input 2021.02.24 15:00

When the government announced an additional plan to supply 70,000 households in Gwangmyeong-siheung, Gyeonggi-do, 18,000 households in Daejeon in Busan, and 13,000 households in Gwangju Mountaintop, most real estate experts scored’pass’ in terms of the suitability of the new public housing site. Gave. It means that it is a position that can sufficiently diversify demand for housing and stabilize the market.

Experts say that when a residential complex is created in’Gwangmyeong Siheung’, which was announced as the location of the 6th 3rd new city, It was evaluated that there would be an effect of stabilizing house prices in the southwestern area of ​​Seoul. However, it was said that the speed of supply and securing of railroad connectivity should be closely watched. Some suggestion that there is a need to further increase the supply of housing. There were also suggestions that it is important to increase the speed of’execution’.

On the 24th, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport announced a plan to promote new public housing sites to expand housing supply in metropolitan areas. The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport is planning to develop a housing site with a scale of 12.71 million ㎡ in Gwangmyeong Siheung, Gyeonggi Province, 2.43 million ㎡ in Busan Daejeon, and 1.68 million ㎡ in Gwangju Sanjeong.

Gwangmyeong·Siheung District 70,000 households “Close to Seoul and good balanced development effect”

Gwangmyeong and Siheung districts in Gyeonggi-do, which were announced this time, have been mentioned as the number one candidate for new cities in the metropolitan area. It is a place that encompasses Gwangmyeong-dong, Okgil-dong, Noonsa-dong, Gahak-dong, Siheung-si Gwarim-dong, Mujinae-dong, and Geumi-dong in Gwangmyeong-si. It was designated as the Bogeumjari housing district in 2010 during the Lee Myung-bak administration. It was lifted from the district in 2015 in the aftermath of the real estate economic downturn caused by the global financial crisis, and now there are rice fields and small warehouse facilities.



A panoramic view of KTX at Gwangmyeong Station in Iljik-dong, Gwangmyeong-si, Gyeonggi-do, taken with a drone in May 2020. / Reporter Go Unho

A number of real estate experts gave passing points for this housing supply measure. As the development plan for the southwestern region, very close to Seoul, was established, balanced development in the metropolitan area became possible, and considering the accessibility of Seoul, the effect of stabilizing house prices could also be seen.

Joon-seok Ko, adjunct professor at the Graduate School of Law at Dongguk University, said, “It is close to Seoul and is a location that can distribute the demand for working houses in Guro, Ansan, Pyeongtaek, Incheon, etc.”. “If there is not much concern about self-sufficiency and if the metropolitan transportation network is well connected, Seoul “The effect of diversifying demand can be great.”

Park Hap-soo, senior real estate expert of KB Kookmin Bank, also said, “If you look at the public housing districts for the 3rd new city in the Seoul metropolitan area announced earlier, the northwestern region (Changneung Goyang, Gyeyang Incheon), the northeastern region (Namyangju), and the southeastern region (Gyosan Hanam) were announced, and the southwestern region was missing. It was regrettable, but it is appropriate in terms of arrangement,” he said, “but the regret that the supply is insufficient in such a good position is still there.”

According to expert committee member Park, the supply plan of 70,000 households announced by the government this time is less than that of the plan at the time of selection of the supply zone. Previously, the Lee Myung-bak administration had planned about 190,000 households as housing supply for public housing in the Gwangmyeong and Siheung areas by 2020.

◇ “Even if there is short-term anxiety, the effect of stabilizing house prices in the long term will be great”

Real estate experts predicted that, in the short term, housing prices in neighboring areas may rise due to the news that transportation networks will improve and large-scale residential complexes will be established, but there will be adjustments to lower house prices when moving in.

Gwangmyeong is the place where the largest new town in the Gyeonggi region is already being promoted. There are only 11 redevelopment areas. When the maintenance project is completed, a brand apartment village of 25,000 households is expected to be formed by 2025. Gwangmyeong Siheung New City announced by the government was also at a similar time. I plan to recruit tenants.

Professor Shim Gyo-eon of Konkuk University’s Department of Real Estate said, “Until the pre-sale, the market accepts it as a favorable development due to the expansion of the wide-area transportation network, and the price of a house in this area may be upset and the jeonse crisis may increase due to waiting demand.” “There will be a situation where the house price is lowered.”

Senior expert expert Hap-soo Park also said, “It is an area with good accessibility to Seoul, and it is expected to play a sufficient role in stabilizing housing prices in the southwest region, including the Gwangmyeong area.”



Gwangmyeong Siheung Public Housing District Topographic map of the land transaction permission zone./Provided by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

However, experts emphasized again that a city that can attract demand in the metropolitan area is completed only when the expansion of the transportation network is followed. On this day, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport announced that it will establish a railroad-centered public transportation system to allow 20 minutes access to downtown Seoul as a transportation measure for Gwangmyeong Siheung, allowing access to Yeouido in 20 minutes, Seoul Station in 25 minutes, and Gangnam Station in 45 minutes.

To this end, a railroad transportation network will be established connecting Lines 1, 2, 7, Sinansan Line, GTX-B, and the 2nd Gyeongin Line. However, there are many examples of transportation plans that are far behind the government’s schedule.

Senior Expert Park Hap-soo said, “After moving in the first and second new cities, we must never repeat the serious problem of traffic disruption. It is important to secure subway connectivity as planned by the government.”

Some advise that speeding up procedures such as zoning and land compensation can alleviate anxiety about rising house prices. In the case of the 3rd new city, Gyeyang in Incheon is due to the problem of excavation of cultural properties, and the Hanam district is having difficulty in stabilizing house prices as housing cannot be supplied as planned while experiencing legal disputes.

Most of the Gwangmyeong and Bucheon districts designated this time are also privately owned. Professor Shim Gyo-eon said, “In the end, the speed of supply is the key,” he said. “If the backlash from the land owner or local residents is strong, the project may be delayed from the planned schedule, so we must actively communicate.”

◇ “Busan Daejeo·Gwangju Sanjeong District, sufficient quantity, can meet housing demand”

Experts gave positive reviews one after another for the new public housing sites selected by the government in Busan and Gwangju. This is because the Busan Daejeo Public Housing Area is located north of Gimhae Airport and has transportation systems such as highways and subway lines 3, and Gwangju Sanjeong can serve as a residential area behind Hanam Industrial Complex.

The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport is planning to implement a living environment near direct-injury by arranging start-up support facilities and youth housing near the self-sufficient site in order to create a self-sufficient city in the area of ​​Daejeo-dong, Gangseo-gu, Busan.

As a transportation measure, the Busan Gimhae Light Rail Station will be newly established in the district to facilitate access to downtown Busan and Gimhae. In addition, when the Gangseo Line tram passing through Myeongji New Town and Eco Delta City is confirmed, a station within the district will be installed to improve accessibility to the south side of the district.

The Gwangju Sanjeong District, located in Sanjeong-dong and Jangsu-dong, Gwangsan-gu, Gwangju, is planning to provide residential areas for workers such as the Bitgreen Industrial Complex in connection with the Gwangju-type job project, and to establish a smart logistics and youth startup platform. As a traffic countermeasure, a new road linking the Hanam Jingok Industrial Complex and the city center will be constructed, and the linking IC will be improved to facilitate wide area access to Muan Gwangju and Honam Expressways.

Prof. Joon-Seok Ko said, “Considering the flow of the real estate market in Busan and Gwangju, the amount of supply planned for the Daejeo and Gwangju peaks in Busan will have a sufficient impact on the local housing market.” (東高西低) There was a strong tendency, but development benefits and new towns in western regions such as Gangseo-gu could create synergies in terms of dispersing housing demand and balanced development.”



A topographic map of the land transaction permission zone in the area of ​​Sanjeong, Busan, and Daejeo Public Housing District. / Provided by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

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