Corona 19 stabilization vs 4th epidemic… depends on the flow of the metropolitan area in the next two weeks

On the morning of the 15th, investigators of the Daejeon Police Agency, who have finished seizure and search for the IM Mission in Jung-gu, Daejeon, are carrying out confiscated goods for violating the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) quarantine rules. 2021.2.15/News1 © News1 Reporter Ki-Tae Kim

Korea’s new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) situation is at two crossroads,’stable’ and’reproliferation’. The quarantine performance during the Lunar New Year holidays is expected to be reflected in the number of confirmed cases over the next two weeks to determine whether or not to re-proliferate.

In particular, as the government decided to apply the social distancing step downward from the 15th in consideration of national fatigue, infections in the local community centered on the metropolitan area appear to persist. Accordingly, the flow of the metropolitan area for the next two weeks is expected to be the key.

According to the Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasure Headquarters on the 15th, the daily average of confirmed cases in Korea for one week as of 0 o’clock on the 15th day was 358.6, recording the level of 2nd stage of distance. However, there was a pattern of rebounding with an increase of 8.5 people from the standard of 0 o’clock the previous day.

While the number of confirmed cases in the metropolitan area did not decrease significantly, the decrease in confirmed cases continued to stagnate and rebounded in some cases. As of 0 o’clock on this day, the proportion of confirmed cases in the metropolitan area was 78.9%, accounting for 255 out of 323 cases nationwide.

Among these, the government decided to lower the social distancing stage from this day to apply stage 2 in the metropolitan area and stage 1.5 in the non-metropolitan area. Accordingly, restrictions on operating hours for self-employed and small business owners will be lifted or relaxed.

Kwon Deok-cheol, the 1st Vice President of the Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters, said, “The current quarantine situation has never been relieved. It is not a possible situation.”

The remaining question now is whether or not to spread further due to the Lunar New Year holidays. The government previously banned private gatherings with more than 5 people during the Lunar New Year holidays and recommended refraining from moving.

If the number of infected people between regions increases on a large scale due to the movement during the Lunar New Year holidays, the 3rd outbreak may re-spread and lead to the 4th outbreak from March to April. The national infectious product production index was close to 1, and the metropolitan area recorded 1.06, so the number of confirmed cases can increase rapidly at any time.

Moreover, the tension and relaxation of the people’s quarantine quarantine caused by the domestic outbreak of the mutant virus this spring and the easing of distancing are also a risk factor that instigates the increase in confirmed cases. If quarantine measures are combined with increased movement of tourists in spring due to rising temperatures, a nationwide pandemic could come again.

Kim Woo-joo, a professor of infectious medicine at Daegu Guro Hospital, said, “Recently, it has been confirmed that there are many infected people at the base of the local community, such as a group infection occurred in general hospitals.” If it spreads to Korea in the year, it will dominate the future spread.”

Sohn Young-rae, head of the Social Strategy Division, Jung Soo-bon, said, “Dangers from the increase in movement volume and expansion of multi-use facilities operation due to the Lunar New Year holiday may appear from this week.” As much as it has to be done, quarantine management should be thoroughly strengthened in all areas of life,” he said.

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