St. Louis Cardinals left-handed starter Kim Kwang-hyun▶ Click here for a larger view
Dan Zimboski, who invented the baseball prediction system ZiPS (SZymborski Projection System), predicted Kim Gwang-hyun (32, St. Louis Cardinals) in 2021 with an ERA of 9 wins and an average ERA of 4.05.
It is an evaluation that Kim Kwang-hyun will play an active part in the 2nd to 4th selection in St. Louis next year.
Baseball statistics site Fangraph.com predicted the 2021 season in St. Louis using ZiPS on the 24th (Korean time).
Zimboski directly predicted the performance of the St. Louis players in the 2021 season.
Kim Gwang-hyun’s 2021 performance, which he predicted, was ’25 appearances (24 games start), 140 innings, 9-8 losses, an ERA of 4.05 and 117 strikeouts.
Jimbosky predicted that Kim Gwang-hyun will strike out 7.5 per 9 innings next year and walk 2.4 walks.
In 2021, the expected contribution to victory over substitute players (WAR) is 2.3.
Zimboski predicts that Jack Flaherty will play the role of St. Louis ace with an ERA of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.26 and a WAR of 4.3.
Miles Mycolors (expected 9-8, an average ERA of 3.99, WAR 2.5) and Dakota Hudson (10-10, an average ERA of 4.34, WAR 2.0) were selected as 2-4 starting candidates who will perform similarly to Kim Kwang-hyun.
Kim Gwang-hyun played an active part with an average ERA of 1.62 with 3 wins in 2020, the first year to advance into the big leagues. The schedule was twisted in the aftermath of the novel coronavirus infection (Corona 19), and the team had a soft landing in the big leagues after breaking through the difficulties of a confirmed person.
Fangraph.com evaluated that “Kim Kwang-hyun was a capable second starter.”
In 2020, the major leagues had a shortened season of 60 games per team.
Kim Kwang-hyun’s expected performance based on 162 matches in 2020 calculated by ZiPS in January of this year was 10-10 with an average ERA of 4.46 and a WAR of 1.4.
Jimbosky expected Kim Gwang-hyun to make a soft landing in the big league, and although there was a variable called the shortened season, Kim Gwang-hyun actually pitched more solidly.
In fact, a 9-win average ERA of 4.05 is a grade that Kim Gwang-hyun cannot be satisfied with. Kim Kwang-Hyun aims to exceed the expected ZiPS performance in 2021.
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