Jong-in Kim (pictured left) Chairman of the People’s Power Emergency Response Committee and Ahn Cheol-soo, president of the National Assembly. Reporter Oh Dae-geun
‘You must unite with symbol 2 to win’ vs ‘You must choose symbol 4 to win’
The public’s strength and Ahn Cheol-soo, the head of the National Assembly Party, are heated over the issue of joining the party to unify the opposition candidates for the mayoral election in April. The calculation is the same that the opposition party wins the Democratic Party with only one candidate. However, the strength of the people and the future that President Ahn will face will be different depending on the “when,” “where,” and “how”.
The power of the people to avoid the’worst’ when stuck in the home
On the 8th, the power of the people confirmed the ‘100% introduction of public opinion polls’ in the Seoul-Busan by-election main race, and opened the door for Ahn. Excluding the party member vote, we made rules that are favorable to outsiders, so it means to join and compete. Chung Jin-seok, chairman of the Nomination Committee for the Power of the People, said, “I look forward to the courage of Representative Ahn,” and pressured’unification after Zen integration.’
The reason why the people’s strength leadership quickly prepared for’An Bang Daejeon’ is because it believes that it cannot hand over the initiative of unifying the opposition to President Ahn. According to the Gallup Korea survey on the 5th and 7th of this month, the approval rating of the people’s power was 22%, more than three times ahead of the National Assembly (6%). It is the worst case to unite and defeat as if the people’s power was constantly being dragged by President Ahn and pushed away. The results of the by-election may affect the presidential race as well as the party’s existence in the future.
The lesson of’Park Won-soon-Park Young-seon’ unification’ in 2011 is a contrasting teacher to the power of the people. The Democratic Party was hurt and shaken greatly when independent candidate Park Won-soon finally won the Democratic Party’s Seoul Mayoral Candidate. Democratic Party President Sohn Hak-gyu stepped down as a responsible battle broke out, and the Democratic Party repeated its self-determination and gave the 2012 presidential election to the Grand National Party (then Park Geun-hye, then candidate). Even if the’single opposition candidate’ wins, the party can lose.
From the standpoint of the people’s strength, it is best to stick in the home. Regardless of who becomes the party candidate, if a composition is made to compete with Ahn’s’The King of the End’, the morale of the party as well as the contestants will decline. However, if Ahn wears the’Symbol No. 2’National Strength uniform and runs together, it is’our candidate’. This is why Kim Jong-in, chairman of the People’s Power Emergency Response Committee, told Representative Ahn on the 6th, “If you don’t want to join the people’s power, we won’t meet you for the time being.”
Ahn Cheol-soo, head of the National Assembly Party, is locked in thought at the National Assembly on the 8th. Reporter Oh Dae-geun
The victory equation is broken when entering the tiger’s den
On the other hand, for Ahn, joining the people’s strength or worthy is to enter the’Tiger Cave’ by himself. It is highly likely that only 3 seats will be absorbed by the people’s power of 102 seats. Representative Ahn also failed to form the’New Political Democratic Alliance’ in 2014 with the Democratic Party.
There are also existential concerns. The’Ahn Chul-soo brand’ shines when it is not confined to the frame, whether conservative or progressive. In the next Seoul Mayor’s fitness survey conducted by Real Meter on December 29 and 30 last year at the request of TBS and YTN, CEO Ahn ranked first with 24.9%. The ideological tendencies of the supporters were evenly distributed as conservative (35.2%), moderate (27.2%), progressive (13.6%), and non-volatile (17.1%). It is said that those who wander while supporting the center-left and the center-right as well as the people’s strength and the Democratic Party are the main supporters of Ahn. There is a high risk that Ahn’s approval rating will fall as soon as he joins the people’s strength.
CEO Ahn’s charm is retained when he says,’You must not be conservative. Therefore, he draws a picture of unifying opposition that is created outside the power of the people. Representative Ahn said, “Even if the people’s strength is 100% of the public opinion polls, there are many ways to do it,” he said. “In the US Democratic Party’s presidential race, did Bernie Sanders play the contest as an independent outside the party? Another aide from Representative Ahn also said, “It’s a common purpose to seek mid-scalability, but it doesn’t make sense to keep coming in only,” he said.
On November 12, last year, National Assembly representative Ahn Chul-soo visited the outskirts of the people’s power,’To a Better World’ (Mapo Forum), and had a conversation with Kim Moo-sung. Newsis material photo
I hope to win the opposition but… People’s Power, Ahn Chul-soo’Statue Dream’
Representative Ahn’s big picture will also contain the picture after the Seoul Mayor’s election. If Ahn does not join the power of the people and wins with a’loose solidarity’ of external unity, he can stand on a favorable notice of reorganization of opposition through the establishment of a new party in the future.
Conversely, the leadership of the people’s strength sees Ahn’s victory equation as having low odds. According to the Hankook Ilbo and Korea Research New Year’s poll (conducted on the 28th to 30th of the last month), Ahn’s unfavorable level reached 63.1%. He believes that Ahn’s competitiveness has a’bubble’, and he is pushing for the main battle.
Democrats laugh when the tug of war on both sides gets tighter. For this reason, Moo-sung Kim, former CEO of the Saenuri Party (currently the power of the people), advised, “We have to step back from each other in the workshop, whether it is a party or a worthy party.”
※ For more information on public opinion polls, refer to the website of the Gallup Korea·Real Meter·Central Election Polls Review Committee.
Jihyun Kim reporter [email protected]
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