[여론조사] “Park 30.4 vs Oh 47…Night 29.9 vs Not 45.9”

Ahead of the 4·7 re-election, three terrestrial broadcasters including SBS conducted a joint poll. First of all, in the by-election of the mayor of Seoul, it was found that among the two opposition candidates, the power of the people Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Cheol-soo, the Democratic Party candidate Park Young-seon even if they become single candidates. The unpredictable match between the two candidates Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Cheol-soo was investigated as unpredictable and ultra-thin.

The first news, reporter Kim Soo-young reports.

<기자>

If candidate Oh Se-hoon, the power of the people as a single candidate for pan-optics, asked who to vote.

Democratic Party Park Young-seon 30.4%, people’s power Oh Se-hoon 47.0%.

In the case where the Nationalist Party candidate Ahn Cheol-soo became the single candidate, Park Young-sun 29.9% and Ahn Cheol-soo 45.9%.

Candidate Sehun Oh and Chulsoo Ahn are both superiors outside the margin of error

Se-Hoon Oh and Chul-Soo Ahn decided to reflect’fitness’ and’competitiveness’ in half each in the unified public opinion poll. 37.3% couldn’t cover the superiority and inferiority.

When asked who would vote among the 13 candidates who were registered as candidates for the mayor of Seoul without unification conditions, Park Young-sun 27.3%, Oh Se-hoon 30.2%, and Ahn Cheol-soo 24.0%.

All but the three candidates were less than 1%.

Regarding the meaning of this by-election, 32.7% of the ruling party candidates were elected for stable state administration, and 59.3% were the opposition party candidates for state administration.

As for the willingness to vote, 92.1% would vote and 5.2% would not vote. The Japanese vote was 56.4%.

The highest voter turnout in pre-voting, which started in 2013, was 26.7% at last year’s general election, so next month’s final results are paying attention.

The voters’ party support in Seoul was 27.3% for the Democratic Party, 32.6% for the People’s Power, 3.7% for the Justice Party, 10.1% for the People’s Party, and 2.3% for the Open Democratic Party.

(Video editing: Park Seon, CG: Seo Seung-hyun)

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*Seoul poll summary

Investigation request: SBS, KBS, MBC

Research Institutions: Ipsos, Korea Research, Korea Research

Survey date and time: March 20-21, 2021

Survey target: 1,6 males and females aged 18 or older in Seoul (extracting wireless virtual numbers after assigning gender, age, and region)

Survey method: 100% wireless phone interview survey

Response rate: 36.6%

Weighting method: Weighted values ​​by gender, age, and region (based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of February 2021/cell weight)

Sampling error: ±3.1% points (95% confidence level)

※ Details can be found on the Central Election Polls Deliberation Committee or on the SBS website.

▶ View poll statistics table

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