[여론조사①] Park 35 vs Oh 42.3 / Park 33.6 vs Ahn 45.4

SBS conducted a poll on the 7th of next month ahead of the Seoul-Busan mayoral by-election. First is Seoul. It was expected that the match between Park Young-sun, Oh Se-hoon, and Ahn Cheol-soo was within the margin of error. In the bilateral virtual confrontation, all the pan-opposition candidates were found to be dominant, but compared to a week ago, the rise was remarkable.

First, reporter Han Se-hyun.

<기자>

I asked the voters in Seoul who they thought was better among the candidates for the mayor of Seoul.

Democratic Party Park Young-seon 27.4%, People’s Strength Oh Se-hoon 26.1%, and Nationalist Party candidate Ahn Cheol-soo 24%.

All three candidates’ goodness-of-fits are within the margin of error.

The Open Democratic Party candidate Kim Jin-ae was 2.4%.

Compared to the SBS poll on the 5th, Park fell 3.3 percentage points, while Oh and Ahn climbed 3.1 percentage points and 1 percentage points, respectively.

Assuming that the unification was achieved and the pan-passport and pan-opposition candidates face off against each other, we investigated the degree of approval.

First, when Democratic Party candidates Park Young-sun and People’s Power Oh Se-hoon faced each other, Park Young-sun was 35% and Oh Se-hoon was 42.3%.

Compared to the SBS survey on the 5th, candidate Park fell 3.3%p and candidate Oh rose 5.7%p.

If the single candidate for the pan-opposition was Ahn Cheol-soo, Park Young-seon 33.6% and Ahn Cheol-soo 45.4%, leading Ahn 11.8 percentage points.

From the SBS survey on the 5th, Park fell 5.5 percentage points and Ahn climbed 6 percentage points.

When asked about the impact of allegations of speculation by LH employees on the election, it was found that 76.8% had an impact and 21.5% had no impact.

Nearly 4 out of 5 voters in Seoul count the LH crisis as an election variable.

By age group, respondents in their 20s and younger and 50s and older had a relatively higher percentage of respondents who said’there is an impact’.

Regarding the unification of the pan-optics, when asked who thought the candidate for the mayor of the Seoul mayor of the pan-opposition was 32.3% Oh and 36.1% Ahn, and Sehun Oh 33.5% and Ahn 38.2% were both within the margin of error.

The voters’ party support in Seoul was 23.3% for Democracy, 20.3% for People’s Power, 4.7% for Justice, 5.5% for the People’s Party, and 2.9% for Open Democracy.

(Video Editing: Seong-Hoon Jung, CG: Gyu-Yeon Kim)

Investigation request: SBS

Investigation Agency: Nextry Search

Survey date and time: March 13, 2021

Survey target: 1008 men and women over 18 years of age in Seoul

(Extraction of wireless virtual number after assigning surname, age, and region)

Survey method: wireless phone interview survey

Response rate: 25.6%

Weighting method: Weighted values ​​by gender, age, and region (based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of February 2021 / cell weighting)

Sampling error: ± 3.1%p (95% confidence level)

Details can be found on the Central Election Polls Deliberation Committee or on the SBS website.

▶ [여론조사②] Kim 24.3 vs Park 41.5… Gadeokdo · LH is variable

▶ View poll statistics table