[여론조사①] Night 38.3% vs Oh 36.6% / Night 39.1% vs An 39.4%

SBS conducted a public opinion poll a month ahead of the Seoul Mayor’s by-election. In the case of a one-on-one confrontation with a single candidate, both Park Young-sun vs. Oh Se-hoon and Park Young-sun vs. Ahn Cheol-soo were expected to win within the margin of error.

First, reporter Han Se-hyun.

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We asked who would be better off among the candidates for the Seoul Mayor’s by-election.

30.7% of the Democratic Party candidate Park Young-sun, the People’s Strength candidate Oh Se-hoon 23%, and Ahn Cheol-soo’s National Assembly candidate 23%.

Following this, Kim Jin-ae, the Open Democratic Party candidate, was 2.6%, followed by Jo Jung-hoon, the candidate for the transition to the era, in that order, 0.3%.

Assuming that the candidates were unified and the candidates of the pan-passport and the pan-opposition were confronted, the degree of approval was investigated.

First, if Democratic Party candidates Park Young-sun and People’s Power Oh Se-hoon face each other, Park Young-seon 38.3% and Oh Se-hoon 36.6% are fighting within the margin of error.

By age group, candidate Park was in their 40s and 50s, and candidate Oh was in their 60s and older.

If the single candidate for the pan-optics was Ahn Cheol-soo, Park Young-seon 39.1% and Ahn Cheol-soo 39.4%.

Again, it is within the margin of error.

Candidate Park in their 40s and Ahn over the ages of 30 and 60 were strong.

Dividing Seoul into 5 regions and analyzing by region, candidate Park Young-seon was strong in Gangseo and Eunpyeong, and single candidate for Panya in Seocho and Jongno.

Recently, I asked how prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol’s resignation would affect the candidate’s decision, and it was tense at 47.6% with impact and 47.7% without impact.

Those under the age of 29 and over the age of 60 had a high percentage of influence, while many in their 30s and 40s had no effect.

Party approval ratings were 25.1% for the Democratic Party, 22.5% for the People’s Power, 2.9% for the Justice Party, 5.9% for the People’s Party, and 3.3% for the Open Democratic Party.

(Video editing: Mira Yu, CG: Seung-Hyun Seo)

▶ [여론조사②] Is it appropriate or competitive? ‘Tight’

☞ Download the poll statistics table