[매경·MBN조사] Park Young-sun 25%, Oh Se-hoon 46%… By twice the difference

◆ Maekyung·MBN Poll ◆

Two weeks before the 4·7 re-election, the official election campaign was started, and in Seoul, it was found that Oh Se-hoon, the People’s Power Candidate, got nearly twice the approval rate of Park Young-sun and the Democratic Party candidate. The government’s judgment theory, triggered by allegations of land speculation by Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH) employees, has spread, and the effect of the unified opposition candidates convention is overwhelming the atmosphere at the beginning of the official election. In Busan, it was also found that Park Hyung-jun, candidate for the power of the people, was far ahead of Democratic Party candidate Kim Young-chun, who received 29.3% with 58.8% approval rating.

According to a poll conducted by Hangil Research at the request of Maeil Economic Daily and MBN on the 25th, Candidate Se-hoon Oh gained a 46.3% approval rating, ahead of candidate Park Young-seon, 25.3%. However, it is necessary to take into account that the time of the investigation was the time when the conservative supporters actually gathered together, as the time of the investigation was between the 22nd and the 23rd, including the 22nd when the unification of opposition between Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Chul-soo was achieved.

When asked about the factors that influenced the decision of the candidate, the citizens of Seoul chose the `policy and municipal administration ability` (23.9%) followed by `the state judgment` (20.7%). Appeared to be. It is an analysis that is the result of a combination of recent LH employees’ new city speculation and complaints about the government’s real estate policy.

When asked about the increase in real estate-related taxes, 72.2% of Seoul citizens gave a negative evaluation as’wrong’. (55.5%) answered’similar’ (25.3%) far more than’better’ (13.5%).

In a survey conducted by Hangil Research in February, Seoul citizens sent 33% support to the Democratic Party and 27.7% to the people’s strength, which turned over to 39.3% of the people’s strength and 20.9% of the Democratic Party in one month. This poll was conducted by using a 100% wireless telephone answering method using virtual numbers provided by three telecommunications companies, and the sample error was ±3.3% in Seoul and ±3.4% in Busan with a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey and Deliberation Committee.

[박인혜 기자 / 채종원 기자]

Even in your 40s, you can’t believe it… Park Young-sun, betrayed by the fierce regime judgment theory [매경·MBN조사]

Panse in the early stages of the Mayor of Seoul

朴, drop by 20%P in a month
Accelerated separation of public sentiment due to the LH crisis

Se-Hoon Oh, 野 rises vertically after unification
Prior to candidates for all age groups

“Real estate tax rises wrong” 72%
Half of the respondents “The Morality of the Civil Government
It’s worse than the MB·朴 regime”

4·7 By-election As the official election campaign started, it was found that in the election of the mayor of Seoul, which attracts the most attention, the `political judgment theory` is getting stronger and stronger. The ruling Democratic Party, the ruling party in power, actually elected former Minister of Small and Medium Venture Business Park Young-seon, a highly recognized minister of small and medium-sized ventures, and went to Suseong Mayor of Seoul. It was investigated as being pushed.

In particular, Candidate Oh is weighed on the prospect that the opposition party will be able to return to the seat of Seoul Mayor in 10 years, as the effect of the convention that successfully unified with candidate Ahn Cheol-soo.

In a poll conducted by Maeil Economic Daily and MBN on the 25th by Hangil Research, Candidate Oh earned 46.3%, greatly outpacing Candidate Park, who gained 25.3%. Compared to the same survey conducted in February, Park’s approval rating fell by 14.2 percentage points, and Oh’s approval rating rose by 19.3 percentage points. It is analyzed that the speculation of land by employees of the Korea Land and Housing Corporation (LH) fueled public sentiment, angered by the government’s real estate policy, soaring house prices and taxes, and as a result, it had a decisive effect on the fluctuations in the approval ratings of opposition parties. In fact, even Park’s most reliable reinforcements, even in their 40s, have recently stepped out of support. In February alone, Park’s approval rating reached 55.6% in his 40s, but fell to 33.7% in March.

Passport officials defending former Seoul Mayor Park Won-soon and the facts, as well as the full appearance of the victims, were interpreted to have had a minor impact. Candidate Park got 39.4% support from women and 39.6% from men in February, but the support for women fell 15.3 percentage points to 24.1% in March. There was a part where Candidate Park’s image of’women’s market’ worked positively, which has recently been oxidized into an issue of the former market. On the other hand, Candidate Oh greatly appreciated the unification of the opposition. Regardless of the age group and gender, the approval rate rose, and among them, the approval rate in the age group over 60 jumped a whopping 37.7 percentage points compared to February. The unification between Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Cheol-soo was fierce, but it can be interpreted that conservative middle-aged and elderly people are gathering toward Oh as they were finally sorted out as candidate Oh.

As a result of the survey, which was conducted with more than a month of elections left, the willingness to vote was quite high. According to the survey, the intention to vote was 61.8%. It is a part of attention whether the turnout for the re-election of the heads of metropolitan local governments in 2011 can exceed 48.6%. 32.1% of respondents answered that they will vote in advance, which is the first to be introduced in the election of local government heads. Pre-voting was the highest at 50.2% among those in their 30s, and the intention to vote was very high at 78% among those over 60 years old. In particular, 70.1% of candidate Oh’s supporters were willing to vote. On the other hand, the Democratic Party supporters were 44.3% willing to vote, and 48.7% willing to vote in advance. It can be seen that the distrust issues related to pre-voting during the 4-15 general elections of last year were reflected in the conservative public opinion.

When asked if they went to the polls and decided who to film, more than 8 out of 10 responded that’it has already been decided’.

This poll was conducted in a 100% automated answering method using virtual numbers provided by three carriers over the last two days from 22 to 23, with a 95% confidence level and a sample error of ±3.3% points. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey and Deliberation Committee.

[박인혜 기자 / 채종원 기자 / 이희수 기자]
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