National Assembly·Political Party: Politics: News: Hankyoreh Mobile

As the power of the people and the National Assembly Party agreed in principle on the method of unifying candidates for the Seoul mayor’s by-election on the 19th, attention is focused on who will be the final opposition candidate among the Oh Se-hoon and Ahn Chul-soo. The polls contest is more of a gambling. The fact that the decision to select candidates for public office through public opinion polls is in itself irrational. It only exists as a political reality because no other method is appropriate and there is a premise that the parties will succumb to it. Anyway, Candidate Se-Hoon Oh and Candidate Chul-Soo Ahn left their fates in the polls. Recently, several media companies have commissioned public opinion polls to conduct various investigations for the two candidates. Details can be found on the website of the Central Election Polls Review Committee. The’Single Candidate Preference’, which (KBS) commissioned Korea Research to announce on the 16th, was almost the same as Se-Hoon Oh and 38.3% Ahn Cheol-Soo. The question was, “Who do you think is better among candidates for the unification of the pan-optics of the mayor of Seoul?” The preference is close to the goodness of fit (required by candidate Oh). The results of the single candidate preference survey, which was commissioned by Real Meter and announced on the 15th, were 39.3% Oh Se-hoon and 32.8% Ahn Cheol-soo, with candidate Oh slightly ahead.

Both sides fought tightly over’suitability’ (Oh Se-hoon) and’competitiveness’ (Ahn Cheol-soo) as poll questions, but there is not much difference in the content of the recently released poll. According to the survey released on the 15th, the degree of fitness was only 5.5% points (36.8% Oh, 31.3% Ahn) and 4.0% points for competitiveness (Sehun Oh 34.5%, Ahn 30.5%). Since the difference between the two candidates Se-Hoon Oh and Chul-Soo Ahn is mostly within the margin of error, it is difficult to say for sure who is ahead. However, although it is within the margin of error, it is true that there are more and more poll results ahead of candidate Oh. Candidate Oh was greatly pushed by Ahn Cheol-soo in almost all public opinion polls until he was confirmed as a candidate in the party contest on March 4th. However, after breaking expectations and defeating former lawmaker Na Gyeong-won, it began to rise. In the process of unification negotiations, Candidate Ahn asked for a rush to conduct a public opinion poll, which is also the reason why Candidate Oh has room. There are three reasons behind the rise of candidate Oh. First, the public opinion of the People’s Power Party members and supporters who were scattered into Na Gyeong-won and Oh Se-hoon came to one of Oh Se-hoon. Second, after the party contest, he succeeded in building a stable image without making any major mistakes. Third, since he was a candidate for the 1st opposition party, it was more advantageous than Candidate Ahn Chul-soo in absorbing the reflective profits of the LH (LH) incident. There are other variables as well. Kim Jong-in, chairman of the National Power Emergency Response Committee, insisted on the process of negotiating the unification of candidates and pushed Ahn Cheol-soo excessively. Because of this, some sympathy may be focused on Candidate Chul-soo Ahn. Recognizing this, Candidate Oh also tried not to lose sight of the image of a’politician of determination and sacrifice’ for the victory of the entire opposition, such as accepting 100% of wireless phones at the last minute. Until the last moment, the two had a fierce battle for’justice’, but the purpose is’Sili’. Depending on how these factors are reflected in future opinion polls, the game may be different. Senior Reporter Seong Han-yong [email protected]