[글로벌 아이] Goldwater and Trump-JoongAng Ilbo

Jongju Lim, Director General of Washington

In 1964, when the Tonkin Bay incident, which changed the course of the Vietnam War, the US presidential election in November of that year was a shameful defeat for conservatives. Candidate Barry Goldwater, who emerged as a conservative icon with his book Conservative Conscience, lost 38.5% of the votes and 61.1% of President Lyndon Johnson. Only six of the 50 states were managed.

Key figures faced each other for a shattered conservative future. The product was the beginning of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), the largest conservative event in the United States in 1974. California Governor Ronald Reagan, who gave the keynote speech, won the presidential election six years later. The stolen states paid off the defeat of 6 places, Goldwater.

The main character of this year’s CPAC, which just ended on the 28th of last month, was former President Donald Trump. The finale speech marked the end of the CPAC, which became the home of conservatives in name and reality. In his first public speech after 39 days of retirement, Biden’s administration beat a month, saying, “It was the worst in modern history.” It was an armed demonstration aimed at the presidential election in 2024, but it was nothing but a warm-up.

Global Eye 3/2

Just before that, interesting poll results came out. Six out of ten Trump supporters (59%) said they “want” his 2024 presidential run (USA Today-Suffolk University). “I don’t want” (29%) was twice as likely as the answer. Almost half (46%) of the followers said “I will follow” when the Trump new party is created. It is proof that the support base is solid even in the election defeat and impeachment judgment.

Entourages are carrying Trump’s halo and throwing tickets in a row. Linda Blanchard, who served as the Slovenian ambassador to the Alabama Senator challenge, copied Trump’s presidential slogan MAGA (Make America Great Again) to the fore. Senator Mitt Romney, a representative anti-Trump person in the party, affirmed, “If Trump makes a decision, he will be a candidate for the 2024 presidential election.”

The airflow inside the Republican Party is complex. In the House of Representatives Kevin Meccasi, the leader of the House of Representatives in the party, and Liz Cheney, the third-place chairman of the Congressional Assembly, publicly clashed over the role of Trump. When Mekashi agreed to the CPAC speech, Cheney was greeted with aggression. Mitch McConnell, the leader of the Senate, which suggested the breakup with Trump, is also anxious.

Some expectations that Trump will follow Goldwater, who instigated anger with a far-right remark that “Extremism to protect freedom is not evil,” collapsed five years ago. The primordial nature of the impeachment attempt to defeat the re-running qualification has only raised the ransom. Goldwater returned to politics as a senator four years later. It is a series of strange reversals.

Jongju Lim, Director General of Washington