Young people’s reaction to the reduction in special supply… “Are you splitting again?”

Input 2021.02.05 06:00

“It means that you can win regardless of the additional points. I almost gave up on the subscription, but I’m hoping to wait a little longer.” (35-year-old office worker Park Mo)

“What’s the use of easing the special supply standard last year? I heard that you can subscribe for special supply even if you have only one child with a double-income annual salary of 100 million.

Controversy arose as the government announced that it would change the pre-sale standard for public pre-sale houses in the ‘2·4 supply plan’. By reducing the special supply for newlyweds and multi-child households, and increasing the proportion of general supply, the lottery system was newly established, because there were people with lower and higher chances of winning.

According to the real estate industry on the 5th, the government decided to reduce the amount of special supply for houses of 900 million won or less from the current 85% to 50% of the public housing provided according to the ‘2 and 4 supply measures’ such as the’public direct implementation maintenance project’. did.

The reduced special supply will be sold in general supply. A 30% new amount of’lottery system’, which was not previously available, will be allocated to general supply. For the existing general supply of public housing, the winners were only screened by a’sequential system’ that selects the winners in the order of the highest total savings in the subscription bankbook (only 100,000 won per month is recognized) if the exclusive area is less than 85㎡.

The reorganization of the subscription system is aimed at expanding the opportunity to win subscriptions for young people, who are not subject to special supply. An unmarried young man is a prime example. For the general supply of the new lottery system, any homeless person from the previous household for more than 3 years can challenge. It also gives opportunities to the so-called’subscription underprivileged’ who lack additional points and are not eligible for special supply.

◇ “How long have you been given an opportunity…Is the competition rate higher?”

However, there are also many gazes on this reorganization. This is because it has launched another reorganization to reduce the proportion of special supply after 4 months of easing the standard of special supply. In October last year, the government eased the income requirement for special supply subscriptions from 130% to 160% and added the first screening process in its life.

Those who were able to sign up for special supply due to the easing of the special supply requirements last time are responding that the arrangement of my house, which was’picking stars in the sky’, has become further away. Labor manager Kim Mo (37) said, “It has always fallen from the special supply offer last year.” I don’t know.”

Newlyweds Park Mo (32) said, “It seems that newlyweds have become disadvantaged and unmarried has become more advantageous.”

9,426 people flocked to the pre-sale complex of Gwacheon Knowledge and Information Town, which was implemented for the first time since the relaxation of special supply standards. The average competition rate was 139.8 to 1.

◇’Welcome’ for unmarried and middle-aged people with anticipation

On the other hand, homeless people who were relatively alienated from the subscription due to lack of additional points and not meeting the requirements for special supply are welcoming the introduction of the lottery system. Although the odds of winning are slim, it is because the way is open anyway.

Park Mo (35), an unmarried office worker, said, “As the qualifications are loose, the competition will be ridiculously fierce, but as the sale price cap is applied, it seems that if you win, you will be able to gain enormous profits.” “There was a problem with the existing system that prevents even subscriptions because they are not married.”

Kim Mo (37), a dual-income office worker, said, “Because of income, I was not eligible for special supply and had a lack of additional points, so I had to enter only subscriptions for mid- to large-sized apartments that always had lottery volumes,” he said.

The middle-aged and homeless people also welcomed the increase in the sequential general supply from 15% to 35% of the total volume. The petitioner, who recently revealed himself as the head of the 50s on the Blue House National Petition Bulletin Board, appealed for reverse discrimination, saying, “The special supply is a system for newlyweds only.”

KB Kookmin Bank Senior Real Estate Expert Park Won-gap said, “Because the pre-sale quantity is limited, it’s like a’zero-sum’ game, so you can hear a voice saying, “But, rather than having no subscription opportunities at all, It is correct to improve.”

◇ “The renewal of the subscription system is meaningful… but the housing supply should come true as expected”

However, it is meaningful to reorganize the subscription system only when the supply of new houses comes out, but it is unclear when the supply will be possible. The government has announced measures to supply 320,000 households in Seoul and 836,000 households nationwide, but there are many reactions with question marks on whether it will lead to actual housing supply.

If only the reorganization of the subscription system is made and there is no supply of new housing, the anxiety of homeless people who delays the time to prepare their homes will inevitably increase.

Freelancer Choi Mo (31) said, “I professed to supply hundreds of thousands of units to Seoul, but I am uneasy because the last 24 real estate policies have not come true as I said,” he said. “If you believe in the lottery but don’t supply as much as you expected,’Nakdong River “Duck eggs” he said.

In fact, even if housing is supplied according to the government’s countermeasures, the volume supplied by lottery is not expected to be very large. The government plans to supply 78,000 households as an urban public housing complex project in Seoul, 93,000 households as a public direct-implemented maintenance project, and 40,000 households as a small-scale maintenance project. Since all are maintenance projects, the right to move in will be distributed to existing members or land owners, and the remaining households will be sold. Usually, the amount of pre-sale from reconstruction and redevelopment projects is about 30% of the total.

Even assuming that the number of households will increase to 1.4 times that of existing reconstruction and redevelopment due to incentives to increase the floor area ratio due to public participation, it is possible to calculate that the amount released by public sales is 40 to 50,000 households, of which the lottery system is limited to 6000 to 7,500 households. Considering the homeless households in Seoul, which exceeds 2 million households, the competition rate of 200 to 1 is easily surpassed.

However, real estate experts thought that the reorganization of the subscription system would have a positive effect to calm’panic buying’. Seo Won-seok, a professor at the Department of Real Estate at Chung-Ang University, said, “This measure seems to have delivered the message that’anyone can buy apartments in Seoul’.” “I said.