Politics BAR: Politics: News: The Hankyoreh

Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong unveils the 2nd Gyeonggi disaster basic income payment plan at the briefing room of Gyeonggi-do Office in Suwon-si, Gyeonggi-do on January 20. yunhap news

The next presidential election day is March 9, 2022. Only a year and a month remain. There are many people who think, “When did this happen?” There is a reason. First, it is because of the corona. For the year from January 2020 to now, our concern has been all over the corona and the economic crisis caused by coronavirus. I didn’t have much time to look at politics. The general election in April was also the’Corona general election’. It is empowering the government’s ruling party to overcome the corona crisis. Second, the presidential election schedule has changed. Six presidential elections were held at the end of the year in December from 1987 to 2012. The only exceptions were the 2017 presidential election held on May 9th due to the impeachment of former President Park Geun-hye. It is very likely that our unconsciousness incorrectly entered the ‘2022 presidential election’ as’the December 2022 presidential election’.

So this year it will feel like the political clock is spinning much faster than last year. On March 9th, Lee Nak-yeon, the representative of the Democratic Party, will resign. Because we have to withdraw a year before the presidential election. After the re-election on April 7th, Kim Jong-in, chairman of the People’s Strength Emergency Response Committee, will also resign. The two parties must hold their respective conventions in May and June to elect a new representative. In addition, it is likely that the Democratic Party will be led by Rep. Song Young-gil, Woo Won-sik and Hong Young-pyo (in alphabetical order). The power of the people is expected to be challenged by Rep. Yoon Young-seok, Jeong Jin-seok, Joo Ho-young and Hong Mun-pyo. In May, a new representative from each political party must be elected. In addition, the Democratic Party is likely to be challenged by Rep. Park Wan-ju, Ahn Kyu-baek, Yun Ho-joong, and Kwon Seong-dong, Kwon Young-se, and Kim Ki-hyun, etc. The issue of the National Assembly of Representative Election and the election of the in-house representative is bound to be the presidential election next year. All candidates will shout, “To win the presidential election, you must elect me.” By this time, the rivalry between the opposition and opposition presidential candidates will also start to heat up. After the April 7 re-election and election, the political situation inevitably turns into a presidential election in May or June at the latest. But there is one strange thing. Even though there is less than a year left in the presidential election, there are no strong candidates for the opposition. People’s Strength If you ask people, “Who do you think will be candidates?”, you seldom give an answer. You can only hear about this.

However, it is also premature to see that the ruling party will unconditionally win the presidential election in 2022 and regain power. The Korean presidential election is not that simple. Anyway, until the emergence of the influential presidential candidates in the opposition, the competition for the next presidential election for the time being will inevitably be formed around the ruling party candidates. The next monthly Political Leader Preference Survey is conducted by Gallup Korea. It is very interesting to look at the changes over the past year. In January 2020, a year ago, it was definitely a’Lee Nak-yeon solo’ system. Representative Hwang Gyo-an was in second place, but it was almost a single digit. Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong was bottoming at 3-4% in January and February. Spurt started in March. After steadily rising, in August, the composition of’Nakyeon Lee and Jaemyung Lee Yanggang’ was formed. Since the end of last year, Nak-yeon Lee has been pushed out and has been playing solo (refer to the website of the Central Election Polls Review Committee).

It is almost unprecedented in the presidential election preference survey to hit 3% to 23% in one year. It can be described as’the Lee Jae-myeong phenomenon’. Every phenomenon has a cause. What was the reason Governor Lee Jae-myung was able to rise to the top? This is because the environmental factor of Corona and Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s unique political leadership matched well. Let’s break it down and analyze it. First, it’s speed. Governor Lee Jae-myeong is a politician with quick judgment and action. As the corona spread around Shincheonji, the Shincheonji facility in Tokyo was immediately closed. And the’basic disaster income’ was paid first. The bold leadership in responding quickly to an unprecedented crisis was also shown as a good evaluation in the next political leader preference survey. Second, it is philosophy. Governor Jaemyung Lee’s universal welfare philosophy stands on a fairly solid empirical and theoretical foundation. Governor Lee Jae-myeong is a person who implemented basic income payment as a policy since the days of the mayor of Seongnam. Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s philosophy fits in with the Corona era. Major developed countries are also boldly pouring out their finances to overcome the crisis. Third, it is a regional premium. Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s political base is the densely populated metropolitan area. I am from Yeongnam there. Politicians from Honam, whether reform or conservative, are not supported in Yeongnam, but politicians who are from Yeongnam and are reformed can be supported by Honam. President Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in became president. Governor Lee Jae-myeong visited the May 18 Cemetery in Gwangju on the 28th.

Gyeonggi Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong visited the National May 18 Democratic Cemetery in Buk-gu, Gwangju on the afternoon of January 28 alone. The picture is a guestbook written by Governor Lee just before his visit. yunhap news

Now, then, will Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong be elected as a presidential candidate at the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate contest in late August or early September? How easy would it be if politics was so simple? Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s presidential race begins now. He is no longer a pursuit. In the run, a pursuit who closely follows the leader’s back receives less wind resistance. But the moment you take the lead, you have to run through the wind. Mercury is more difficult than challenge in politics. The challenger is easily forgiven for saying anything, but the top runner can fall for a moment by mistake. In addition, Democratic Party member Daseon of the metropolitan area said to Governor Lee Jae-myeong, “You are cleverly good. Now I just have to be careful with drinking S&S,” he joked with bones. The biggest hurdle for Governor Lee Jae-myeong is his relationship with the Democratic Party’s rights party. Many rights party members still talk about the case of’Hye Gyeong-gung Kim’ during the 2018 Gyeonggi governor candidate contest. Governor Lee Jae-myeong needs reconciliation or at least understanding with them to advance further in the presidential candidate preference survey. This time, from the perspective of Representative Lee Nak-yeon and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun, let’s look at the competition for the Democratic Party presidential election together. Will CEO Nak-yeon Lee be able to rise to No. 1 again in the presidential candidate preference survey? In order to answer this question, we need to first understand why Nak-yeon Lee’s support has recently declined. In addition, I asked several Democratic Party lawmakers why. Surprisingly, there were many answers saying “I don’t know”. The pardon of former President Lee Myung-bak and Park Geun-hye did not mean that the approval rating had suddenly dropped. It was on January 1, 2021, that CEO Nak-yeon Lee pulled out the pardon of former President Lee Myung-bak and Park Geun-hye, and it was before that time that it showed a decline in public opinion polls. It is said that the support of Lee Nak-yeon fell even further as he took out an amnesty at the beginning of a car that had been shaking since the end of the year. The problem is that we don’t know exactly why the support for Lee Nak-yeon was shaken at the end of the year. There is only an analysis that the support seems to be shaken as it appears to have stopped several times while passing major bills at the regular National Assembly last year.

In addition, Democratic Party representative Lee Nak-yeon is speaking at the Supreme Council’s meeting held at the National Assembly on January 25th. yunhap news

Anyway, CEO Nak-yeon Lee has two chances to raise his support again. First, this is the extraordinary National Assembly in February. If we succeed in passing the’Coexistence 3 Act’ (Operation Loss Compensation Act, Cooperation Profit Sharing Act, and the Basic Social Economy Act) led by Nak-Yeon Lee, you will be able to build up the image of a’politician who creates results’ and your support level will rise again. Second, the by-election of the Mayor of Seoul on April 7th. Representative Nak-Yeon Lee will take over as the president of the Election Countermeasures Committee as soon as he withdraws from his position on March 9. The Democratic Party is at a disadvantage in the Seoul Mayor’s election. If the Democratic Party wins, it can return to Lee Nak-yeon. If the politician’s strengths are reversed, they immediately become disadvantages. CEO Nak-Yeon Lee’s greatest strength, a sense of stability, was seen as frustration in Corona Jungkook. In contrast to Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s rapid pace, it suffered losses. However, Nak-yeon Lee’s heavy words and actions are not the sole responsibility of politician Nak-yeon Lee. The position of the prime minister or representative of the ruling party in power is both a favorable notice and a bridle for the next presidential candidate. Because you cannot speak or act freely. When CEO Nak-yeon Lee withdraws from his position on March 9, he will gain freedom of speech. As the next presidential candidate, I will be able to fully reveal the politics of’Lee Nak Yeon-ryu’. Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun is expected to quit the prime minister at the appropriate time and jump into the presidential nomination if the coronavirus enters into a calm after the 4/7 re-election. On the 28th, we exchanged these conversations with the debaters at the Broadcast Reporters Club debate.

Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun is speaking at a video conference of the Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasure Headquarters for Corona 19 Response held at the Seoul Situation Center in the Central Disaster and Safety Situation Room of the Seoul Government Complex on the morning of January 25. yunhap news

Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun is a man with a really brilliant career. He served as a 6th-choice member of the National Assembly, in-house representative, representative, minister, chairman of the National Assembly, and prime minister. It is curious that such a politician’s preference for the next presidential candidate is as low as it is now. During the past year, Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun never exceeded 1% in the Preference Survey for the next political leader at Gallup Korea. However, recently, as President Lee Nak-yeon’s support declined, Prime Minister Chung Sye-gyun’s support has gradually increased. The two are from Honam and have similar styles, so they seem to be a substitute relationship in the presidential race. Experts believe that it is not difficult to exceed 10% once Prime Minister Chung Sye-gyun can raise the approval rating to 5%. Representative Lee Nak-yeon and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun have a common weakness. It is also the strength of Governor Jaemyung Lee. There are two. First, there is no’anti-force’. Representative Lee Nak-yeon and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun are harmonious politicians. There are not many people who especially hate it. That’s the weakness. Launching a kite is a headwind, not a backwind. All of the past presidential-class politicians have had a considerable amount of anti-power in everyone, and they have been able to rise to heights by overcoming them. Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong has a certain’anti-power’. The so-called conservative criticizes Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s response to the coronavirus as’leftist populism’. However, such an attack rather makes Governor Lee Jae-myeong stand out. This is because it reinforces the image of a just leader against vested interests. Second, it is the’reform route’. The Democratic Party’s past presidential nominations were largely won by politicians with reform lines. Roh Moo-hyun won the 2002 Roh Moo-hyun-Lee In-je confrontation, and Moon Jae-in won the 2012 Moon Jae-in-Son Hak-gyu confrontation. In the 2017 Moon Jae-in-Ahn Hee-jung confrontation, Moon Jae-in won. Representative Lee Nak-yeon and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun’s policy line is close to the middle. On the other hand, Governor Lee Jae-myung’s policy line is close to reform and progress. This is the point that President Nak-yeon Lee and Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun should consider. I’ll finish. It took exactly one year for Governor Lee Jae-myeong to hit 3% to 23%. The next presidential election remains one year and one month. If so, it means that even the presidential election runners, whose approval rating is only a single digit now, can rise to the top as much as possible, and there is a possibility of winning the presidential election on March 9, 2022. We live in’Dynamic Korea’. Senior Reporter Seong Han-yong [email protected]