Blame the amnesty? Lee Jae-myeong overtakes Lee Nak-yeon in passport support

  From left, Nak-yeon Lee, representative of the Democratic Party, Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, and Gyeonggi Province governor Lee Jae-myeong.
From left, Nak-yeon Lee, representative of the Democratic Party, Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, and Gyeonggi Province governor Lee Jae-myeong.
Ⓒ Oh My News

See related photos

According to a joint national index survey (NBS) in the first week of January (January 4-6), four public opinion polls (Mbrain, Casestat, Korea Research, and Korea Research), Gyeonggi Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong last year It recorded 24%, up 3%p compared to the 3rd week of December, leaving the 2nd and 3rd places outside the margin of error (±3.1%p to the 95% confidence level) and continued to be the first. Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol rose 1%p to 16%, and the Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon fell 3%p to 15%.

In particular, Governor Lee Jae-myeong was found to be the first in this survey to be ahead of Representative Lee Nak-yeon in key passport support groups, such as the Democratic Party, President Moon Jae-in support, and progressives. It is noteworthy that it is an investigation conducted after CEO Nak-yeon Lee raised the amnesty against former Presidents Lee Myung-bak and Park Geun-hye.

According to this survey, Governor Lee Jae-myeong surged 6 percentage points in the Democratic Party support base to 38%, while Representative Lee Nak-yeon plunged 8 percentage points to 33%. The gap between Governor Lee and CEO Lee is 5%p.

Even in the support of President Moon Jae-in, Governor Lee rose 6%p to 36%, and CEO Lee fell 9%p to 31%. In the progressive class, the Governor Lee increased 5%p to 37%, and CEO Lee fell 7%p to 25%, widening the gap between the two to 12%p.

Governor Lee Jae-myeong surged 9%p to 33% in the Honam region, another key support for passports, while CEO Nak-yeon Lee plunged 7%p to 33%. This is the first time that Governor Lee and CEO Lee recorded a tie in this survey of voters in the Honam region.

By age, Governor Lee Jae-myeong rose 3%p to 39% in his 40s, which is known to have the highest loyalty among the core supporters of passports, and was 23%p ahead of Lee Nak-yeon, who fell 3%p to 16%.

  The first week of January, the joint national index survey (NBS) of four public opinion polls, the fitness of the next presidential candidate
  The first week of January, the joint national index survey (NBS) with four public opinion polls, the fitness of the next presidential candidate (support map)

The results of this survey seem to reflect the high public opinion against the’Lee Myung-bak and Park Geun-hye’s amnesty’ among the core supporters of the passport.

In this regard <오마이뉴스>On the 5th, a poll was conducted on 500 people aged 18 and over (7,420 calls, response rate 6.7%) across the country, and surveyed for and against the pardon of two former presidents. ‘

However, for each camp, the results were clearly divided for pros and cons. Democratic supporters say 88.8% oppose the amnesty, with 71.3% “strongly opposed”. 89.1% of the positive evaluations of President Moon Jae-in also opposed the amnesty. The ideological liberal group also had 75.1% of opposition, overwhelmingly higher than the favor (21.2%), and in Gwangju and Jeolla, the opposition to amnesty recorded 76.6% (56.9% very opposed).

In the first week of January, a joint national survey of four public opinion polls was conducted by Embrain, Casestat, Korea Research, and Korea Research for three days from January 4 to 6, 2021, targeting 1,009 men and women aged 18 years and over. 100% of mobile phone virtual numbers were conducted by telephone interview, and the sample error was ±3.1%p at 95% confidence level, and the response rate was 32.1%. For more information, refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Committee or the NBS website.

<오마이뉴스>-The real meter survey was conducted by wireless (80%) and wired (20%) automatic response (ARS), and the sample error is ±4.4%p at 95% confidence level.

.Source